Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 40 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Paul Scruggs * | 36 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyrique Jones * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Castlin * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zach Hankins * | 14 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Quentin Goodin | 33 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Welage | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Elias Harden | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Delaney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Paschall * | 37 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Phil Booth * | 36 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 29 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 28 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Joe Cremo | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree | 14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jahvon Quinerly | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter