Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.