Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. McCall * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Grant Weatherford * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Elyjah Goss * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ahmed Ismail * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jaylen Minnett | 34 | 6-15 | 5-12 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Nick Rogers | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jack Hansen | 18 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Kenyon | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Welage * | 32 | 9-17 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Castlin * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Paul Scruggs * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tyrique Jones * | 22 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Elias Harden | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Zach Hankins | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dontarius James | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter