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Wisconsin

Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers, Wisconsin
Program History
Coach: Bo Ryan

2013 Team Stats (19 games)

62.8
PPG
55.9
Opp
+6.9
Margin
41.1%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
64.4%
FT%
36.8
RPG
12.9
APG
10.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.2
Adj PPG
49.3
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1368 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1232 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1088 (#61) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +17.1 (#12) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +16.6 (#12) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.851 (#21) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.5 More โ†’ 0.960 (#12) AdjNet +27.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.9 More โ†’ 0.962 (#12) AdjNet +27.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 49.3 More โ†’ 0.810 (#12) AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 49.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 52.0 More โ†’ 0.720 (#18) AdjO 62.4 | AdjD 52.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.859 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.846 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1256 (#28) RD 107 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 87 - 47
2012-11-14 @ Florida Gators L 56 - 74
2012-11-18 vs Cornell Big Red W 73 - 40
2012-11-20 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 88 - 43
2012-11-23 vs Creighton Bluejays L 74 - 84
2012-11-24 @ Arkansas Razorbacks T 0 - 0
2012-11-28 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 54 - 60
2012-12-02 vs California Golden Bears W 81 - 56
2012-12-04 vs Omaha Mavericks W 86 - 40
2012-12-08 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 50 - 60
2012-12-12 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 65 - 54
2012-12-22 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 74 - 53
2012-12-29 vs Samford Bulldogs W 87 - 51
2013-01-03 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 60 - 51
2013-01-06 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 47 - 41
2013-01-12 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 74 - 51
2013-01-15 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 64 - 59
2013-01-19 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 66 - 70
2013-01-22 vs Michigan State Spartans L 47 - 49
2013-01-26 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 45 - 44
2013-01-29 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 49 - 58
2013-02-03 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 74 - 68
2013-02-06 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 74 - 70
2013-02-09 vs Michigan Wolverines W 65 - 62
2013-02-14 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 53 - 58
2013-02-17 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 71 - 49
2013-02-20 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 69 - 41
2013-02-26 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 77 - 46
2013-03-03 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 56 - 69
2013-03-07 @ Michigan State Spartans L 43 - 58
2013-03-10 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 63 - 60
2013-03-15 vs Michigan Wolverines W 68 - 59
2013-03-16 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 68 - 56
2013-03-17 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 43 - 50
2013-03-22 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 46 - 57

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ben Brust Ben Brust G 35 34.3 11.1 5.1 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.1 5.9 12.5 230 29 7.9 10.2 41.7 38.6 78.3 3.91 89.8 53.6
Jared Berggren Jared Berggren F-C 35 28.5 11.0 6.9 0.9 0.6 2.1 1.0 5.9 14.5 164 29 5.7 8.7 45.4 25.4 74.3 2.76 81.4 49.3
Ryan Evans Ryan Evans F 35 29.1 10.1 7.3 2.0 0.7 0.8 1.6 6.0 13.4 156 29 5.4 8.1 37.8 14.3 44.8 1.69 74.0 38.3
Sam Dekker Sam Dekker F 35 22.3 9.6 3.4 1.3 0.7 0.4 1.1 4.1 10.2 167 29 5.8 11.7 49.3 41.2 70.2 3.28 101.7 61.5
Traevon Jackson Traevon Jackson G 35 27.8 6.9 2.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 7.1 119 29 4.1 6.5 39.6 35.3 77.4 -0.62 74.4 45.6
Mike Bruesewitz Mike Bruesewitz F 33 28.0 6.4 5.3 1.8 0.9 0.3 1.5 3.4 9.8 170 27 6.3 9.7 36.6 23.5 58.6 2.31 84.2 43.8
Frank Kaminsky Frank Kaminsky F 32 10.3 4.2 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.3 1.5 5.9 109 26 4.2 17.4 28.6 16.0 83.3 2.36 122.5 32.7
George Marshall George Marshall G 35 15.8 4.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.2 131 29 4.5 12.5 31.2 30.9 50.0 0.09 85.6 41.9
Zak Showalter Zak Showalter G 22 6.7 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.5 2.8 11 19 0.6 3.9 27.3 0.0 75.0 -1.31 113.6 27.3
Dan Fahey Dan Fahey G 10 2.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.6 3 8 0.4 5.5 66.7 0 75.0 -0.12 115.5 66.7
Zach Bohannon Zach Bohannon F 17 4.7 1.0 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.2 -4 14 -0.3 -2.6 66.7 100.0 0.0 -2.54 116.1 75.0
Evan Anderson Evan Anderson C 12 3.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 -7 10 -0.7 -8.4 50.0 0.0 0 -1.32 112.5 50.0
Jordan Smith Jordan Smith G 10 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 -3 8 -0.4 -7.9 20.0 0.0 0 -1.16 70.0 20.0
J.D. Wise J.D. Wise G 9 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 -6 7 -0.9 -24.1 33.3 100.0 0 -1.65 83.3 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG