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2013-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.4% 26.6% - โœ“
Margin 86.2% 13.8% -10.1 โœ“ (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.4% 7.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.0% 29.0% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -28 (41-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Bruesewitz * 33 2-6 0-2 2-4 5 4 0 0 2 6 7 -
Ben Brust * 32 4-9 3-7 1-1 8 2 0 1 1 12 13 -
Traevon Jackson * 26 2-3 0-1 4-6 7 5 0 1 1 8 17 -
Ryan Evans * 26 1-6 0-0 2-5 4 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
Jared Berggren * 25 5-9 0-1 2-2 8 2 3 0 0 12 16 -
George Marshall 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Sam Dekker 18 4-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
Frank Kaminsky 13 2-5 1-3 3-4 2 1 2 0 1 8 7 -
Zach Bohannon 2 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Zak Showalter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Evan Anderson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jordan Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.D. Wise 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Dan Fahey 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Hearn * 38 4-14 2-5 3-4 3 2 2 1 2 13 5 -
Dave Sobolewski * 35 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 5 1 0 2 8 8 -
Tre Demps * 21 3-7 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
Kale Abrahamson * 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Alex Marcotullio 26 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Alex Olah 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
Mike Turner 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Montgomery III 12 1-3 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Nikola Cerina 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Omar Jimenez 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter