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Wis.-Stout

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wis.-Stout
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 912 (#517) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 921 (#459) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 957 (#590) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -4.5 (#191) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.6 (#404) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.304 (#592) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.9 More → 0.418 (#389) AdjNet -2.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.0 More → 0.414 (#388) AdjNet -3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 76.6 More → 0.452 (#390) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 76.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.469 (#477) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.411 (#473) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.422 (#473) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 1015 (#343) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Oak Hills Christian W 89 - 48
2025-11-12 @ Macalester L 76 - 82
2025-11-18 vs Maranatha Baptist W 85 - 56
2025-11-22 @ Calvin L 66 - 81
2025-11-25 @ Hamline L 68 - 85
2025-11-29 @ Ill. Wesleyan W 66 - 58
2025-12-03 vs Wis.-Superior L 70 - 79
2025-12-05 vs Augsburg L 77 - 81
2025-12-10 vs North Central (MN) W 75 - 64
2025-12-13 @ Michigan Tech L 41 - 79
2025-12-20 @ Saint Mary's (MN) L 67 - 73
2025-12-29 @ Lawrence L 57 - 70
2026-01-03 vs Wis.-Platteville L 63 - 72
2026-01-07 vs UW-River Falls W 81 - 61
2026-01-10 vs Wis.-Eau Claire L 66 - 68
2026-01-14 vs Wis.-Stevens Point W 83 - 67
2026-01-17 @ Wis.-Whitewater L 54 - 72
2026-01-21 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 50 - 72
2026-01-24 @ Wis.-Oshkosh W 78 - 77
2026-01-28 @ Wis.-Eau Claire W 67 - 63
2026-02-04 @ Wis.-Stevens Point L 51 - 63
2026-02-07 vs Wis.-Whitewater L 77 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyrel Creger - 9 30.0 16.4 2.6 2.6 0.8 0.2 3.0 15.2 4.3 -54 -6.8 -422.1 40.9 32.7 71.4 -0.23 49.6 46.7
Domanyck Schwarzenberger - 22 22.9 11.4 2.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.4 8.5 5.9 -61 -2.8 -19.6 38.3 38.1 74.2 2.63 55.0 48.9
AJ Uttech - 19 18.9 9.8 3.1 1.1 1.1 0.0 1.8 8.0 5.3 -29 -1.4 -11.4 43.4 31.1 68.3 -0.2 52.4 48.0
Wesley Mboga - 22 29.5 8.6 4.9 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.5 7.6 7.1 -78 -3.5 -23.6 38.9 30.2 75.8 1.88 52.3 49.4
Justin Nelson - 9 12.6 7.1 3.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.7 5.3 4.4 -11 -1.2 -93.0 54.2 27.3 37.5 0.57 54.6 57.3
Aidan Shore - 21 19.6 6.7 5.3 0.6 0.3 2.4 1.8 6.6 7.0 -150 -7.1 -84.0 41.7 0 61.5 0.03 44.8 41.7
Collin Vick - 22 30.6 6.4 7.8 4.3 1.8 0.0 2.0 5.5 12.9 -88 -4.0 -24.8 47.5 23.5 61.1 0.8 51.5 49.2
Mason Stoik - 22 20.7 5.5 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.9 5.7 2.3 -119 -5.4 -58.0 31.0 29.5 84.0 -2.18 44.5 40.1
Jackson Wilhelmson - 14 9.3 4.3 1.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.4 3.6 2.1 - - - 41.2 39.1 0.0 - 57.3 58.8
Gavin Johnson - 16 11.9 4.2 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 3.7 2.2 4 0.2 6.2 40.7 31.0 100.0 -2.04 54.8 51.7
Nolan Stauffacher - 21 14.8 3.2 2.4 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.5 2.0 4.8 -90 -4.3 -42.9 69.0 0 47.4 -1.75 66.5 69.0
Colin Hudson - 5 4.5 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 2.4 - - - 50.0 75.0 75.0 - 77.3 75.0
Jaxon Tilton - 9 9.3 2.0 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.9 2.0 2.7 -15 -1.7 -553.8 44.4 16.7 50.0 0.44 47.7 47.2
Carson Leuzinger - 17 10.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.0 -46 -2.7 -127.5 17.1 14.3 100.0 0.43 26.6 20.0
Dominic Croci - 8 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.2 - - - 33.3 14.3 0 - 37.5 37.5
Carson Hollman - 11 2.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 - - - 83.3 0 0.0 - 72.7 83.3
Cade LaFavor - 4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Dane Bates - 3 1.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kenari Parr - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG