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Lawrence

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Lawrence
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 932 (#483) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 967 (#420) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 918 (#652) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -9.8 (#341) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -14.1 (#599) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.220 (#653) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.0 More → 0.112 (#630) AdjNet -18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.2 More → 0.106 (#630) AdjNet -18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 76.4 More → 0.243 (#595) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 76.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 74.5 More → 0.342 (#637) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 74.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.243 (#630) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.255 (#628) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 21 More → 930 (#445) RD 103 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Lakeland - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Wis. Lutheran - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Northwestern-St. Paul - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Martin Luther - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ St. Norbert - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ St. Thomas (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 vs Knox - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Lake Forest - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Wis.-Whitewater - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Monmouth (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Dominican (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-12-28 @ Wis.-Oshkosh - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 vs Wis.-Stout - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 vs Cornell College - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Grinnell - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 @ Ripon - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Monmouth (IL) - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Beloit - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Illinois Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Grinnell - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Ripon - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Cornell College - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
CJ Campbell - 21 25.9 13.0 5.3 1.7 0.8 0.7 1.8 11.0 8.8 -4 -0.2 -0.9 41.8 37.6 80.5 -1.47 54.8 51.9
Casey Schoenecker - 21 29.3 12.7 7.1 2.3 0.6 1.2 2.3 10.5 11.1 8 0.4 1.6 51.8 0.0 41.3 0.97 51.1 51.8
Nicholas Gouriotis - 21 27.6 12.1 5.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 1.7 9.0 8.7 -34 -1.6 -6.8 47.9 41.7 86.1 -0.32 62.3 59.3
Nathan Valentine - 18 27.0 9.2 2.9 3.3 0.8 0.1 1.3 6.7 8.3 31 1.7 12.2 43.3 43.0 81.8 2.76 61.3 57.5
Hogan Demovsky - 21 29.3 8.4 3.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 1.1 5.4 7.3 -9 -0.4 -1.7 46.0 41.0 78.0 -0.45 65.6 61.1
Nolan Koch - 19 12.1 5.7 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.7 4.3 4.1 -35 -1.8 -15.2 44.4 0.0 57.8 -1.88 49.9 44.4
Caleb Nash - 21 16.5 3.7 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.1 1.5 3.4 3.2 -43 -2.0 -12.8 39.4 9.1 54.1 -0.65 44.1 40.1
Nicolas Manzanera - 20 11.0 2.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.5 1.6 -46 -2.3 -28.6 38.0 44.4 61.5 0.41 52.0 50.0
Landon Key - 9 13.7 2.8 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 3.1 2.7 -20 -2.2 -14.7 42.9 50.0 0.0 -0.72 43.3 44.6
Cameron Nash - 19 10.6 2.6 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.3 2.6 3.7 -44 -2.3 -39.7 40.8 13.3 57.1 -2.41 45.3 42.9
Henry Jensen - 5 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.4 2.0 -12 -2.4 -85.5 57.1 0.0 100.0 - 66.1 57.1
Jackson Weber - 13 7.5 1.8 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.6 -5 -0.4 -6.9 34.6 0.0 54.5 2.52 38.9 34.6
Damian Cejka - 9 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 -1 -0.1 -3.4 60.0 0 50.0 -0.54 58.9 60.0
Matai Edgecombe - 15 4.8 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 -19 -1.3 -26.3 37.5 0.0 45.5 -0.87 42.8 37.5
Noah Portalatin - 7 1.4 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 -22 -3.1 -694.7 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Robert Olive - 9 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 -0.3 -11 -1.2 -419.0 0.0 0.0 0 -3.0 0.0 0.0
Joe Whitfill - 6 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 -0.7 -9 -1.5 -135.8 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Julian Martinez - 1 2.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 18 1.2 10.5 0 0 0 2.6 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG