UW-River Falls
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#441) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 947 (#438) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 927 (#640) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.7 (#251) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.6 (#449) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.408 (#521) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.449 (#375) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.443 (#377) | AdjNet -1.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.461 (#383) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.460 (#489) | AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 70.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.390 (#500) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.396 (#499) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 954 (#429) | RD 105 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Central (IA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Wis.-Superior | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Carleton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Concordia-M'head | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | St. Olaf | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Macalester | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | North Central (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Hamline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | SUNY Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Grove City | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Wis.-La Crosse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Wis.-Stout | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wis.-Whitewater | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Wis.-Eau Claire | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Wis.-La Crosse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Wis.-Eau Claire | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Leifker | - | 19 | 25.6 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 10.4 | 9.2 | -25 | -1.4 | -8.9 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 69.4 | -1.25 | 53.7 | 47.5 |
| Micah Thompson | - | 20 | 30.8 | 11.2 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 11.7 | -24 | -1.3 | -7.5 | 58.1 | 18.2 | 56.9 | 3.8 | 59.7 | 58.8 |
| Jeremy Wanguhu | - | 11 | 27.1 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 7.6 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 41.0 | 36.1 | 83.9 | 0.47 | 53.2 | 47.5 |
| Gavin Ralph | - | 21 | 31.2 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 6.8 | 10.2 | -53 | -2.6 | -12.8 | 44.8 | 32.8 | 80.4 | -0.42 | 56.7 | 51.7 |
| Reggie Postel | - | 21 | 23.9 | 7.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 4.6 | -87 | -4.3 | -35.1 | 39.7 | 33.7 | 52.2 | -2.69 | 50.9 | 50.3 |
| Kyle Steinke | - | 4 | 20.8 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -1 | -0.3 | -1.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 80.0 | 1.85 | 63.1 | 60.0 |
| Owen Havlik | - | 19 | 28.6 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4.7 | -27 | -1.4 | -8.6 | 35.9 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.4 | 47.0 | 41.9 |
| Brody Variano | - | 12 | 15.0 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.1 | 34.6 | 66.7 | 0.65 | 53.7 | 52.0 |
| Reid Tengblad | - | 21 | 11.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | -15 | -0.8 | -8.5 | 43.8 | 18.2 | 60.0 | -1.62 | 48.3 | 45.0 |
| Drew Tengblad | - | 20 | 12.4 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 39.5 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 1.55 | 51.7 | 51.3 |
| Daniel Cleary | - | 21 | 8.6 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.6 | -21 | -1.1 | -21.5 | 51.2 | 33.3 | 70.4 | 1.14 | 62.0 | 57.0 |
| Evan Clausen | - | 6 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.0 | 35.1 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Cody Loegering | - | 8 | 10.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.77 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Ian Johnson | - | 9 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -35 | -4.4 | -67.3 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4.11 | 25.9 | 26.7 |
| Weston Schult | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -4 | -0.8 | -88.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Evan Rogge | - | 5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -5 | -1.0 | -111.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chad Herickhoff | - | 1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Riley Nelson | - | 1 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.21 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG