🐻⬇️🏀

Maranatha Baptist

Also known as: Maranatha Baptist
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 781 (#624) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 742 (#624) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 858 (#715) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -37.7 (#425) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -34.8 (#771) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.073 (#751) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -44.7 More → 0.005 (#782) AdjNet -44.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -45.3 More → 0.005 (#782) AdjNet -45.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 91.2 More → 0.041 (#784) AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 91.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 83.4 More → 0.174 (#757) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 83.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.060 (#771) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.072 (#768) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 20 More → 718 (#605) RD 128 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Barclay W 87 - 84
2025-11-08 @ Cent. Christian Bib. L 67 - 71
2025-11-11 vs Emmaus W 73 - 69
2025-11-14 vs Beloit L 50 - 86
2025-11-15 vs Crown (MN) L 73 - 101
2025-11-18 @ Wis.-Stout L 56 - 85
2025-11-21 vs Martin Luther L 37 - 81
2025-12-05 @ Northwestern-St. Paul L 82 - 93
2025-12-06 @ Martin Luther L 68 - 85
2025-12-11 @ Andrews L 67 - 75
2025-12-13 vs Principia L 76 - 78
2025-12-16 vs Rockford L 64 - 91
2026-01-10 @ Rockford L 54 - 74
2026-01-15 @ Grace Christian (MI) L 62 - 81
2026-01-16 @ Great Lake Christian L 70 - 104
2026-01-17 @ Kuyper L 0 - 0
2026-01-22 @ Moody Bible W 98 - 70
2026-01-27 vs Marian (WI) L 57 - 75
2026-01-30 @ Emmaus W 93 - 89
2026-01-31 @ Spurgeon L 63 - 100
2026-02-03 vs Andrews L 65 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nolan Simon - 1 40.0 31.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 21.0 25.0 -194 -9.7 -49.2 52.4 66.7 77.8 -2.68 62.1 57.1
Johnny Schnepp - 1 31.6 31.0 5.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 24.0 - - - 60.0 33.3 71.4 - 67.2 65.0
Eaton Smith - 1 40.0 24.0 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 26.0 14.0 -159 -17.7 -43.3 42.3 0.0 33.3 0.11 41.9 42.3
Adam Loberger - 1 27.4 21.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 12.0 25 1.1 4.5 35.3 20.0 100.0 -0.78 51.2 38.2
Benjamin Pearson - 1 31.6 20.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 22.0 -44 -2.3 -7.4 57.1 33.3 100.0 -1.66 65.3 60.7
Bohden Duffield - 1 20.0 17.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 16.0 12.0 - - - 43.8 50.0 50.0 - 50.4 50.0
James Hawley - 13 32.7 16.5 4.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 3.3 13.1 8.9 -91 -7.0 -147.8 41.2 34.2 72.1 -0.05 53.8 48.8
Will Schultz - 13 31.9 16.3 7.5 2.4 0.7 0.6 2.6 13.4 11.5 -61 -4.7 -99.2 51.7 28.6 87.5 0.57 56.4 52.9
Devin Watts - 1 27.0 15.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 0 - 53.6 53.6
Grant Brock - 12 33.1 14.8 6.8 1.5 0.7 0.6 2.1 9.5 12.8 -86 -6.1 -130.0 63.2 57.1 46.0 0.61 62.4 64.9
Ethan Kjenstad - 1 26.2 14.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 9.0 33 1.5 7.6 75.0 66.7 0 0.09 87.5 87.5
Raven Ortiz - 1 20.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 8.0 - - - 46.2 0.0 100.0 - 50.4 46.2
Demarien Nichols - 1 39.1 13.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 57.4 50.0
William Green - 1 12.0 12.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 6.0 - - - 45.5 0.0 100.0 - 50.5 45.5
DJ Middleton - 1 25.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 75.0 - 68.5 64.3
Darien Banks - 1 22.0 11.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 16.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 75.0 - 51.1 44.4
Taydem Arguello - 1 29.6 11.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 1.0 - - - 26.7 33.3 100.0 - 34.6 30.0
Landon Jacobus - 1 23.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 80.0 75.0 0 - 110.0 110.0
Luke Fix - 1 23.8 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 -3 -0.1 -0.7 42.9 0 66.7 0.28 51.9 42.9
Ivan Vashchenko - 1 23.9 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 0 75.0 - 94.5 100.0
Nash Harper - 1 18.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 50.0 - 65.4 66.7
Josh Stewart - 1 21.4 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 -1.0 73 3.8 16.5 33.3 20.0 0 2.56 37.5 37.5
Christian Cleveland - 14 23.6 8.4 3.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 3.0 9.1 1.2 - - - 33.9 15.4 58.1 - 40.1 36.2
Benjamin Vasold - 1 27.4 8.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 58 2.6 10.7 60.0 50.0 0.0 1.81 73.5 80.0
Rasheed Dyson - 1 23.0 8.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Nate Thompson - 1 13.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0 75.0 - 45.1 33.3
Ty'emier Moore - 1 13.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 0 75.0 - 45.1 33.3
Eli Mackey - 1 16.5 7.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 2.0 - - - 30.0 33.3 0 - 35.0 35.0
DeMontrel Jones - 1 14.7 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 11 2.8 6.3 28.6 50.0 0 -0.21 42.9 42.9
Jayland Winters - 1 19.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 2.0 - - - 20.0 33.3 0 - 30.0 30.0
Ian Ochieng - 1 20.3 6.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Caleb Brasswell - 1 14.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 75.0 0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Colyer Wingfield - 1 29.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 0 66.7 - 32.2 25.0
Drew Middleton - 1 17.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 62.5 62.5
Joe Shank - 12 23.7 4.2 4.4 2.1 1.2 0.1 1.7 3.4 6.8 -81 -5.8 -126.3 46.3 30.8 66.7 1.13 57.3 56.1
Trey Lauber - 1 18.9 4.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 15 0.7 3.5 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.29 51.5 33.3
LaTa'Vius Vaughter - 1 5.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Ray Askins - 1 5.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jalen Johnson - 1 5.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 3 0.2 1.9 50.0 100.0 50.0 2.69 69.4 75.0
London Gillery - 1 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Lance Jr. - 1 28.4 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 -14 -1.6 -126.8 40.0 0.0 0 -0.22 40.0 40.0
Martin Krenz - 1 7.7 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 -4 -1.0 -73.8 100.0 100.0 0 -0.32 150.0 150.0
Abe Pogue - 1 14.2 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -156 -10.4 -151.6 50.0 0.0 50.0 -3.12 52.1 50.0
Caleb White - 1 28.1 3.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 -95 -5.0 -59.5 16.7 25.0 0 -0.69 25.0 25.0
Thomas Balge - 1 17.8 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 -2.0 -5 -0.3 -1.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.53 14.5 0.0
Demetrius Torrence - 1 29.6 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 - - - 14.3 0.0 0.0 - 13.4 14.3
JoCorian Freeman - 1 9.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 42 3.0 83.6 25.0 0 0 -0.9 25.0 25.0
Javonte Woolery - 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Mugabe Menani - 1 26.1 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Nathaniel Wagner - 1 5.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Jonathan Herbster - 7 3.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 -41 -5.1 -517.9 42.9 0.0 0 -0.74 42.9 42.9
Nathan Barber - 4 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Trenton Heyn - 1 1.8 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11 0.7 29.2 0 0 0 -1.53 0 0
Darryl Allen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Joshua Thompson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -18 -0.9 -8.3 0 0 0 0.38 0 0
Bishop Duffield - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Dayshaun Crawford - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 10 0.6 6.4 0.0 0 0 0.33 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG