Wis.-Whitewater
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1133 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1207 (#35) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1112 (#75) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.0 (#27) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.0 (#288) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.638 (#372) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.694 (#281) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.689 (#282) | AdjNet +6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.609 (#284) | AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.648 (#151) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.687 (#221) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.685 (#215) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1229 (#46) | RD 97 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Ripon | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Eureka | W | 116 - 73 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Aurora | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Simpson | W | 100 - 78 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Lawrence | W | 88 - 58 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Hope | W | 95 - 92 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Alma | W | 90 - 61 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Coe | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 78 - 90 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | UW-River Falls | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wis.-La Crosse | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Wis.-Stout | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Wis.-Eau Claire | W | 83 - 76 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Wis.-Oshkosh | W | 101 - 91 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Wis.-La Crosse | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Wis.-Stout | W | 78 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hovey | - | 1 | 31.5 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 31.0 | 16 | 0.9 | 9.9 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 1.26 | 75.3 | 65.0 |
| Brendan Cargill | - | 1 | 30.0 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 42 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 72.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.48 | 93.3 | 90.9 |
| Lamar Smith | - | 1 | 34.1 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 60 | 2.9 | 13.3 | 88.9 | 0 | 60.0 | 1.35 | 82.1 | 88.9 |
| Wesley Mboga | - | 1 | 30.8 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -78 | -3.5 | -23.6 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 62.5 | 1.88 | 54.2 | 50.0 |
| Domanyck Schwarzenberger | - | 1 | 33.9 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | -61 | -2.8 | -19.6 | 45.5 | 28.6 | 75.0 | 2.63 | 62.0 | 54.5 |
| AJ Uttech | - | 1 | 29.2 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | -29 | -1.4 | -11.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.2 | 61.5 | 58.3 |
| Collin Madson | - | 18 | 31.4 | 17.0 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 9.9 | 13.8 | 12 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 54.7 | 41.8 | 81.2 | -0.05 | 68.5 | 62.6 |
| Michael McNabb | - | 1 | 33.1 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 68 | 3.4 | 12.9 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 4.13 | 50.9 | 45.5 |
| Jacob Naber | - | 1 | 27.2 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 24 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.23 | 71.6 | 50.0 |
| Marcus Wourman | - | 1 | 31.7 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 41 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 55.0 |
| Orion Yant | - | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 45 | 2.2 | 18.4 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.59 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Luke Bara | - | 18 | 22.8 | 10.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 39.6 | 42.7 | 90.2 | 0.29 | 59.9 | 54.3 |
| Brock Marino | - | 17 | 21.7 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.4 | 9.8 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 52.8 | 37.5 | 54.8 | 2.75 | 57.3 | 55.6 |
| Isaac Verges | - | 16 | 20.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 50 | 2.8 | 15.0 | 52.1 | 21.4 | 76.5 | 2.68 | 61.7 | 53.7 |
| Richie Warren | - | 18 | 21.9 | 9.1 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 7.8 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 44.0 | 23.8 | 65.9 | 0.37 | 48.8 | 45.7 |
| Brady Miller | - | 1 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -10 | -0.6 | -75.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.67 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Jake Quast | - | 17 | 17.0 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 6.5 | -5 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 51.2 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.24 | 59.9 | 56.1 |
| Dennis Estepp | - | 1 | 25.8 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.37 | 27.7 | 10.0 |
| Aidan Shore | - | 1 | 16.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -150 | -7.1 | -84.0 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.03 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Nolan Stauffacher | - | 1 | 23.3 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -90 | -4.3 | -42.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.75 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Gavin Johnson | - | 1 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 6.2 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -2.04 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Justice Mims | - | 1 | 18.2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.93 | 41.0 | 25.0 |
| Joey Berezowitz | - | 18 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 4.3 | -40 | -2.0 | -20.9 | 48.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -2.68 | 68.8 | 65.1 |
| Darius Chestnut | - | 15 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | -6 | -0.4 | -5.6 | 51.4 | 46.7 | 58.3 | -0.29 | 61.5 | 60.8 |
| JR Lukenbill | - | 17 | 14.8 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 2.9 | - | - | - | 42.3 | 33.3 | 41.7 | - | 48.0 | 48.1 |
| Avery Sanchez | - | 1 | 7.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -3.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.03 | 61.5 | 50.0 |
| Peyton McKenna | - | 1 | 36.4 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 40 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 16.7 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.04 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Collin Vick | - | 1 | 30.8 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 16.0 | -88 | -4.0 | -24.8 | 20.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.8 | 23.7 | 20.0 |
| Kelton McEwen | - | 18 | 10.0 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 42 | 2.2 | 28.1 | 40.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 4.11 | 52.4 | 53.2 |
| Austin Ambrose | - | 8 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.5 | 20.9 | 45.0 | 20.0 | 33.3 | -0.59 | 48.6 | 50.0 |
| Carter Bishop | - | 1 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -8.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.99 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Charles Howell | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 25 | 1.2 | 10.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Simon Neuhaus | - | 1 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -46 | -2.3 | -19.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.65 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
| Cai Joseph | - | 1 | 6.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -31 | -2.1 | -55.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.03 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Isaiah Robinson | - | 13 | 8.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.6 | -40 | -3.6 | -50.8 | 35.3 | 25.0 | 55.6 | -0.52 | 47.7 | 44.1 |
| Agape Keyes Jr. | - | 7 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 50 | 2.4 | 43.4 | 25.0 | 42.9 | 0 | -0.14 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Mauryon Turner | - | 4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 51.5 | 66.7 |
| Matthew McKay | - | 4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 82.0 | 100.0 |
| Mason Stoik | - | 1 | 17.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -119 | -5.4 | -58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.18 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Tristian Lynch | - | 3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kyle Blauch | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Ryg | - | 1 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -0.8 | -20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Zay Howard | - | 4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Evan Bland | - | 1 | 14.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 24 | 1.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Greg Smith | - | 1 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmy Tarjan | - | 1 | 14.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Carson Leuzinger | - | 1 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -46 | -2.7 | -127.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG