🐻⬇️🏀

Wis.-Whitewater

Also known as: Wis.-Whitewater
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1133 (#66) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1207 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1112 (#75) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +9.0 (#27) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +4.0 (#288) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.638 (#372) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.1 More → 0.694 (#281) AdjNet +7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.689 (#282) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.609 (#284) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.648 (#151) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.687 (#221) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.685 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 21 More → 1229 (#46) RD 97 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Ripon W 76 - 58
2025-11-14 @ St. Thomas (TX) L 73 - 81
2025-11-15 vs Eureka W 116 - 73
2025-11-19 vs Aurora W 82 - 73
2025-11-25 vs Simpson W 100 - 78
2025-12-02 vs Elmhurst W 88 - 72
2025-12-10 @ Lawrence W 88 - 58
2025-12-13 vs Carroll (WI) W 64 - 60
2025-12-19 @ Hope W 95 - 92
2025-12-20 @ Alma W 90 - 61
2025-12-30 @ Coe L 73 - 86
2026-01-03 vs Wis.-Oshkosh L 78 - 90
2026-01-07 vs Wis.-Stevens Point L 71 - 79
2026-01-10 @ UW-River Falls W 67 - 59
2026-01-14 @ Wis.-La Crosse W 63 - 60
2026-01-17 vs Wis.-Stout W 72 - 54
2026-01-21 @ Wis.-Platteville L 60 - 70
2026-01-24 vs Wis.-Eau Claire W 83 - 76
2026-01-28 @ Wis.-Oshkosh W 101 - 91
2026-02-04 vs Wis.-La Crosse L 65 - 68
2026-02-07 @ Wis.-Stout W 78 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Parker Hovey - 1 31.5 25.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 31.0 16 0.9 9.9 60.0 50.0 80.0 1.26 75.3 65.0
Brendan Cargill - 1 30.0 23.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 17.0 42 2.0 10.7 72.7 66.7 100.0 1.48 93.3 90.9
Lamar Smith - 1 34.1 22.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 20.0 60 2.9 13.3 88.9 0 60.0 1.35 82.1 88.9
Wesley Mboga - 1 30.8 19.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 13.0 -78 -3.5 -23.6 42.9 25.0 62.5 1.88 54.2 50.0
Domanyck Schwarzenberger - 1 33.9 18.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 10.0 -61 -2.8 -19.6 45.5 28.6 75.0 2.63 62.0 54.5
AJ Uttech - 1 29.2 18.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 8.0 -29 -1.4 -11.4 50.0 50.0 66.7 -0.2 61.5 58.3
Collin Madson - 18 31.4 17.0 5.2 1.1 1.4 0.1 1.0 9.9 13.8 12 0.6 2.4 54.7 41.8 81.2 -0.05 68.5 62.6
Michael McNabb - 1 33.1 13.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 6.0 68 3.4 12.9 45.5 0.0 75.0 4.13 50.9 45.5
Jacob Naber - 1 27.2 13.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 14.0 24 1.1 5.1 50.0 0 100.0 -1.23 71.6 50.0
Marcus Wourman - 1 31.7 12.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 3.0 41 2.0 10.2 50.0 25.0 25.0 2.8 51.0 55.0
Orion Yant - 1 29.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 16.0 45 2.2 18.4 57.1 0 50.0 1.59 57.1 57.1
Luke Bara - 18 22.8 10.4 1.1 1.4 0.7 0.0 1.4 7.7 4.5 1 0.1 0.3 39.6 42.7 90.2 0.29 59.9 54.3
Brock Marino - 17 21.7 9.8 6.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 1.4 6.4 9.8 -1 -0.1 -0.3 52.8 37.5 54.8 2.75 57.3 55.6
Isaac Verges - 16 20.6 9.6 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.1 1.4 5.9 8.8 50 2.8 15.0 52.1 21.4 76.5 2.68 61.7 53.7
Richie Warren - 18 21.9 9.1 5.4 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 8.3 7.8 12 0.6 3.5 44.0 23.8 65.9 0.37 48.8 45.7
Brady Miller - 1 12.2 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 -10 -0.6 -75.5 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.67 58.1 50.0
Jake Quast - 17 17.0 7.2 3.2 0.4 1.2 0.1 0.8 4.8 6.5 -5 -0.3 -1.7 51.2 33.3 66.7 -0.24 59.9 56.1
Dennis Estepp - 1 25.8 7.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 0.0 2 0.1 0.5 10.0 0.0 83.3 -0.37 27.7 10.0
Aidan Shore - 1 16.7 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 -150 -7.1 -84.0 60.0 0 50.0 0.03 59.5 60.0
Nolan Stauffacher - 1 23.3 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 -90 -4.3 -42.9 100.0 0 0 -1.75 100.0 100.0
Gavin Johnson - 1 8.8 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 4 0.2 6.2 25.0 25.0 100.0 -2.04 51.2 37.5
Justice Mims - 1 18.2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -1.0 25 1.2 9.0 25.0 0.0 100.0 1.93 41.0 25.0
Joey Berezowitz - 18 13.6 3.6 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.1 0.3 2.4 4.3 -40 -2.0 -20.9 48.8 50.0 100.0 -2.68 68.8 65.1
Darius Chestnut - 15 9.4 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.5 1.9 -6 -0.4 -5.6 51.4 46.7 58.3 -0.29 61.5 60.8
JR Lukenbill - 17 14.8 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 3.1 2.9 - - - 42.3 33.3 41.7 - 48.0 48.1
Avery Sanchez - 1 7.8 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -8 -0.4 -3.8 50.0 0 100.0 1.03 61.5 50.0
Peyton McKenna - 1 36.4 3.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 40 1.9 7.7 16.7 16.7 0 -0.04 25.0 25.0
Collin Vick - 1 30.8 3.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 -88 -4.0 -24.8 20.0 0 33.3 0.8 23.7 20.0
Kelton McEwen - 18 10.0 2.9 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 2.6 1.2 42 2.2 28.1 40.4 33.3 33.3 4.11 52.4 53.2
Austin Ambrose - 8 9.0 2.8 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.5 1.8 9 1.5 20.9 45.0 20.0 33.3 -0.59 48.6 50.0
Carter Bishop - 1 4.1 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -11 -0.6 -8.9 100.0 0 0 -1.99 100.0 100.0
Charles Howell - 1 15.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 25 1.2 10.5 100.0 0 0 -0.26 100.0 100.0
Simon Neuhaus - 1 9.8 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -46 -2.3 -19.7 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.65 34.7 0.0
Cai Joseph - 1 6.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -31 -2.1 -55.3 100.0 0 0 -1.03 100.0 100.0
Isaiah Robinson - 13 8.4 1.5 0.5 0.5 1.6 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.6 -40 -3.6 -50.8 35.3 25.0 55.6 -0.52 47.7 44.1
Agape Keyes Jr. - 7 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 50 2.4 43.4 25.0 42.9 0 -0.14 37.5 37.5
Mauryon Turner - 4 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 - - - 66.7 0 0.0 - 51.5 66.7
Matthew McKay - 4 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 82.0 100.0
Mason Stoik - 1 17.3 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -119 -5.4 -58.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.18 17.4 0.0
Tristian Lynch - 3 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 0.21 33.3 33.3
Kyle Blauch - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 0.6 6.1 0 0 0 0.48 0 0
Jared Ryg - 1 7.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 -13 -0.8 -20.0 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Zay Howard - 4 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Evan Bland - 1 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 24 1.6 8.6 0.0 0 0 0.63 0.0 0.0
Greg Smith - 1 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 1 0.1 1.0 0 0 0 0.19 0 0
Jimmy Tarjan - 1 14.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -3.02 0 0
Carson Leuzinger - 1 9.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -46 -2.7 -127.5 0.0 0 0 0.43 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG