🐻⬇️🏀

Western Michigan

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Western Michigan Broncos, Western Michigan
Program History
Coach: Dwayne Stephens

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

74.0
PPG
78.9
Opp
-4.9
Margin
43.3%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
36.6
RPG
12.4
APG
11.9
TO
80.9
Pace
73.0
AdjO
80.3
AdjD
#269
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 782 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 869 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 928 (#628) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -7.3 (#272) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +5.8 (#292) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.284 (#296) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -27.1 More → 0.035 (#348) NetEff -27.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.5 More → 0.250 (#268) AdjNet -9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.6 More → 0.247 (#267) AdjNet -9.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 80.3 More → 0.340 (#269) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 80.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 75.3 More → 0.446 (#503) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 75.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.558 (#305) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.520 (#310) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 29 More → 901 (#484) RD 154 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 76 - 71
2025-11-06 vs Northwood (MI) Timberwolves L 81 - 85
2025-11-09 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 82 - 91
2025-11-12 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 83 - 71
2025-11-16 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 78 - 83
2025-11-20 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 91
2025-11-23 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 83 - 60
2025-11-29 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 55 - 84
2025-12-03 vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 88 - 74
2025-12-14 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 51 - 91
2025-12-20 vs Buffalo Bulls L 71 - 88
2025-12-22 vs Defiance Yellow Jackets W 94 - 57
2025-12-30 @ Toledo Rockets L 79 - 84
2026-01-06 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 76 - 87
2026-01-10 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 79 - 62
2026-01-13 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 82 - 85
2026-01-20 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 54 - 72
2026-01-24 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 77 - 65
2026-01-27 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 65 - 85
2026-02-03 @ Ohio Bobcats L 71 - 91
2026-02-07 @ Texas State Bobcats L 61 - 77
2026-02-11 vs Toledo Rockets L 79 - 90
2026-02-14 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 76 - 62
2026-02-17 vs Akron Zips L 73 - 90
2026-02-21 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 70 - 83
2026-02-24 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 88 - 79
2026-02-28 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks L 67 - 69
2026-03-03 vs Ball State Cardinals L 71 - 74
2026-03-06 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 78 - 86

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Williams J. Williams - 15 30.5 14.8 3.8 2.2 0.6 0.0 1.5 12.0 7.9 -94 -4.1 -6.4 40.6 34.2 86.2 -0.3 54.0 47.8
J. Brewer J. Brewer G 29 25.3 13.1 7.0 1.1 0.8 0.9 1.8 10.3 11.0 -76 -3.6 -7.5 45.0 29.4 70.5 -0.54 52.6 46.6
J. Griffith J. Griffith - 25 22.0 11.2 1.3 3.0 0.9 0.0 1.7 8.7 5.9 -7 -0.4 -0.7 44.5 40.8 78.6 0.14 57.7 54.1
T. Lewis T. Lewis - 29 17.8 7.8 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 6.4 4.2 -8 -0.5 -9.4 41.1 38.0 73.5 0.0 56.5 54.3
Brady Swartz Brady Swartz - 23 20.5 7.7 4.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 6.1 6.7 -8 -0.4 -1.1 40.7 34.6 71.4 -0.06 54.5 50.4
Ej Ryans Ej Ryans - 29 27.3 7.2 1.8 2.0 0.5 0.1 1.1 6.7 3.8 -30 -1.4 -2.6 38.1 27.4 88.4 -0.11 49.1 44.1
M. Burton M. Burton - 28 24.4 6.1 5.3 1.5 0.2 0.6 1.4 4.9 7.4 84 8.4 12.0 49.3 0.0 69.8 1.11 53.7 49.3
Carson Vis Carson Vis - 29 15.6 6.1 2.3 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.7 5.0 4.3 -19 -0.9 -3.1 43.2 30.6 60.0 -0.03 51.3 48.3
H. Ward H. Ward F 12 18.1 4.5 3.1 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.3 4.3 4.6 -22 -1.7 -4.7 44.2 30.8 0.0 -0.34 51.1 51.9
Sharod Barnes Sharod Barnes - 26 12.7 3.4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.3 2.6 2.9 -74 -4.4 -16.9 34.3 12.5 82.4 -0.95 49.8 35.1
Michael Sulaka Michael Sulaka - 23 11.3 3.0 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 2.3 3.5 -15 -1.0 -5.1 51.9 33.3 70.6 -0.4 56.1 52.8
Declan Peterson Declan Peterson - 27 8.9 2.1 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.7 -10 -0.6 -3.1 59.5 0 54.5 -0.15 59.8 59.5
Nicholas Errica Nicholas Errica - 6 5.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 -0.2 15 2.5 39.0 37.5 16.7 0 0.11 43.8 43.8
Junior Sileu Junior Sileu - 8 5.5 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 -11 -1.8 -15.1 80.0 0 0 -0.1 80.0 80.0
Camden Thompson Camden Thompson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 88 4.0 21.5 - - - 1.03 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG