Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Ryans | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Brewer | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Burton | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams | 24 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| B. Swartz | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 21 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| C. Vis | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Peterson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Griffith | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Barnes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Drone | 34 | 9-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D. Hall | 30 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Davis | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Gumbs | 29 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| F. Emmou | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Sant | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| M. Willis | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Bolden | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Fields | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
* = starter