Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | -6.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -18 (54-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Campbell | 38 | 7-16 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | +14.3 |
| T. Glover II | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 19 | +14.4 |
| S. Towns | 37 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 23 | +18.1 |
| M. Wol | 31 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +12.1 |
| J. Ruffin | 30 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +10.9 |
| J. Shackelford | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +1.3 |
| C. Karel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.3 |
| J. Kimbrough Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| A. Goins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| M. Leach | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Williams | 37 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -5.5 |
| EJ Ryans | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -15.4 |
| M. Burton | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -6.5 |
| J. Brewer | 25 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | -7.1 |
| B. Swartz | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -7.5 |
| C. Vis | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -6.2 |
| S. Barnes | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -0.3 |
| T. Lewis | 12 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -6.8 |
| J. Sileu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.3 |
* = starter