Western Carolina
2026 Team Stats (28 games)
78.9
PPG
76.2
Opp
+2.7
Margin
44.8%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
39.4
RPG
13.1
APG
11.6
TO
83.1
Pace
74.4
AdjO
79.6
AdjD
#238
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 999 (#176) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 984 (#198) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1083 (#67) | HCA +109 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 997 (#332) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.1 (#237) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.7 (#141) | HCA +2.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.6 (#600) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.402 (#235) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.156 (#294) | NetEff -17.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.326 (#233) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.325 (#232) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.383 (#238) | AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.649 (#71) | AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.441 (#521) | AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.759 (#172) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.143 (#632) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.744 (#151) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.191 (#632) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1070 (#169) | RD 145 | GP 28 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 872 (#570) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Stansberry
|
G | 27 | 30.3 | 14.7 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 7.9 | -61 | -2.8 | -4.7 | 36.9 | 30.5 | 79.7 | -0.14 | 51.0 | 44.9 |
M. Kell
|
F | 28 | 29.8 | 13.9 | 5.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 11.2 | 8.2 | -51 | -2.2 | -3.9 | 43.9 | 29.2 | 70.2 | -0.29 | 54.1 | 50.3 |
J. Soumaoro
|
G | 24 | 25.5 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 9.2 | 6.7 | -113 | -5.4 | -9.4 | 43.2 | 41.1 | 81.2 | -1.36 | 58.5 | 56.3 |
T. Dioumassi
|
- | 26 | 24.7 | 9.4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 7.9 | 6.0 | -46 | -2.3 | -4.9 | 45.9 | 37.5 | 71.7 | -0.41 | 54.4 | 51.7 |
Tahlan Pettway
|
- | 27 | 23.1 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 6.3 | 70 | 3.5 | 9.9 | 43.1 | 38.5 | 77.5 | 0.71 | 57.9 | 55.1 |
Samuel Dada
|
- | 28 | 20.6 | 6.5 | 7.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 11.5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 69.6 | 0.0 | 79.3 | -0.01 | 71.6 | 69.6 |
Cj Hyland
|
G | 17 | 14.2 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.5 | 3.7 | -14 | -0.8 | -2.8 | 44.7 | 44.8 | 81.2 | -0.1 | 59.4 | 53.3 |
J. Johnson
|
G | 27 | 15.2 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 3.8 | 113 | 5.4 | 16.0 | 39.1 | 17.9 | 61.0 | 0.86 | 45.5 | 41.4 |
A. Fanta Kabba
|
- | 26 | 16.7 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 15 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 32.1 | 0.07 | 62.7 | 66.7 |
Fischer Brown
|
G | 8 | 11.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 54 | 5.4 | 27.7 | 41.7 | 13.3 | 0 | 0.37 | 45.8 | 45.8 |
Drew Hollifield
|
- | 6 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.2 | -5.8 | 41.7 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.1 | 50.5 | 50.0 |
C. McKey
|
F | 4 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 5 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
Tayeshaun Smith
|
- | 27 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | -23 | -1.1 | -5.5 | 38.9 | 9.1 | 78.6 | -0.1 | 47.4 | 40.3 |
V. Collins
|
F | 5 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 3 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.12 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
M. Williams
|
- | 6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 68 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Titian DeRosa
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG