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Western Carolina

Also known as: Western Carolina Catamounts
Program History

2026 Team Stats (28 games)

78.9
PPG
76.2
Opp
+2.7
Margin
44.8%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
39.4
RPG
13.1
APG
11.6
TO
83.1
Pace
74.4
AdjO
79.6
AdjD
#238
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 999 (#176) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 984 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1083 (#67) HCA +109 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 997 (#332) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -5.1 (#237) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +15.7 (#141) HCA +2.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -19.6 (#600) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.402 (#235) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.2 More → 0.156 (#294) NetEff -17.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.3 More → 0.326 (#233) AdjNet -6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.3 More → 0.325 (#232) AdjNet -6.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 79.6 More → 0.383 (#238) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 79.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.649 (#71) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.441 (#521) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 74.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.759 (#172) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.143 (#632) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.744 (#151) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.191 (#632) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 28 More → 1070 (#169) RD 145 | GP 28
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 872 (#570) RD 350 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 63 - 94
2025-11-08 @ Duke Blue Devils L 54 - 95
2025-11-13 vs Voorhees Tigers W 95 - 44
2025-11-16 vs Stetson Hatters W 76 - 65
2025-11-19 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 80 - 73
2025-11-22 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 62 - 83
2025-11-29 @ High Point Panthers L 73 - 93
2025-12-02 vs Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons W 124 - 62
2025-12-18 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 82 - 112
2025-12-31 vs Wofford Terriers L 74 - 79
2026-01-03 @ Furman Paladins W 80 - 77
2026-01-07 @ Samford Bulldogs L 77 - 82
2026-01-10 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 77 - 79
2026-01-14 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 72 - 68
2026-01-21 @ Mercer Bears L 76 - 88
2026-01-24 vs VMI Keydets W 88 - 58
2026-01-29 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 90 - 88
2026-01-31 vs Samford Bulldogs L 74 - 88
2026-02-04 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 78 - 81
2026-02-07 @ Wofford Terriers L 66 - 77
2026-02-11 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 87 - 49
2026-02-14 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 81 - 76
2026-02-18 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 91 - 77
2026-02-21 @ VMI Keydets W 81 - 62
2026-02-25 vs Mercer Bears W 78 - 74
2026-02-28 vs Furman Paladins W 86 - 67
2026-03-07 @ Mercer Bears W 77 - 73
2026-03-08 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 67 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Stansberry C. Stansberry G 27 30.3 14.7 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.0 1.4 12.4 7.9 -61 -2.8 -4.7 36.9 30.5 79.7 -0.14 51.0 44.9
M. Kell M. Kell F 28 29.8 13.9 5.0 0.8 0.6 0.2 1.1 11.2 8.2 -51 -2.2 -3.9 43.9 29.2 70.2 -0.29 54.1 50.3
J. Soumaoro J. Soumaoro G 24 25.5 11.5 3.1 2.2 0.7 0.0 1.6 9.2 6.7 -113 -5.4 -9.4 43.2 41.1 81.2 -1.36 58.5 56.3
T. Dioumassi T. Dioumassi - 26 24.7 9.4 2.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 1.8 7.9 6.0 -46 -2.3 -4.9 45.9 37.5 71.7 -0.41 54.4 51.7
Tahlan Pettway Tahlan Pettway - 27 23.1 9.1 2.3 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.4 7.2 6.3 70 3.5 9.9 43.1 38.5 77.5 0.71 57.9 55.1
Samuel Dada Samuel Dada - 28 20.6 6.5 7.6 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.7 4.1 11.5 1 0.0 0.1 69.6 0.0 79.3 -0.01 71.6 69.6
Cj Hyland Cj Hyland G 17 14.2 6.3 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.2 4.5 3.7 -14 -0.8 -2.8 44.7 44.8 81.2 -0.1 59.4 53.3
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 27 15.2 6.0 2.4 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.9 5.6 3.8 113 5.4 16.0 39.1 17.9 61.0 0.86 45.5 41.4
A. Fanta Kabba A. Fanta Kabba - 26 16.7 4.5 5.8 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.0 3.1 8.3 15 0.8 1.9 66.7 0 32.1 0.07 62.7 66.7
Fischer Brown Fischer Brown G 8 11.4 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.0 1.6 54 5.4 27.7 41.7 13.3 0 0.37 45.8 45.8
Drew Hollifield Drew Hollifield - 6 2.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.2 -1 -0.2 -5.8 41.7 28.6 50.0 -0.1 50.5 50.0
C. McKey C. McKey F 4 9.2 2.0 1.8 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 5 1.2 7.6 60.0 0 100.0 -0.15 68.0 60.0
Tayeshaun Smith Tayeshaun Smith - 27 10.0 1.5 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.3 -23 -1.1 -5.5 38.9 9.1 78.6 -0.1 47.4 40.3
V. Collins V. Collins F 5 6.0 1.2 2.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.2 3 0.6 4.2 50.0 0.0 0 -0.12 50.0 50.0
M. Williams M. Williams - 6 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 68 3.1 5.7 0.0 0 0 0.31 0.0 0.0
Titian DeRosa Titian DeRosa G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG