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2026-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Western Carolina Catamounts Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Mercer Bears +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Carolina Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kell 29 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 4 4 -7.4
J. Soumaoro 29 4-12 3-10 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 11 5 -5.5
J. Johnson 22 5-12 1-4 3-5 5 0 1 1 0 14 9 -1.6
S. Dada 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 10 9 +0.7
C. Stansberry 20 2-8 2-7 5-5 3 0 0 0 1 11 5 -15.9
T. Pettway 18 4-5 3-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 11 8 +7.6
T. Smith 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 +2.2
T. Dioumassi 15 3-8 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 8 2 -18.6
CJ Hyland 15 1-5 0-1 3-3 1 3 0 1 2 5 3 +4.3
A. Fanta Kabba 15 1-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 1 2 6 +0.5

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Shoulders 33 3-12 0-3 3-4 5 1 2 0 2 9 3 -3.0
B. Okojie 32 4-9 1-6 10-12 4 3 3 1 1 19 20 -2.2
Z. Williams 31 9-14 3-6 2-3 5 5 2 0 0 23 21 +14.7
A. Mighty 30 9-10 0-0 2-3 15 2 0 2 3 20 26 +20.2
K. Cuffe Jr. 23 1-9 0-3 3-4 3 1 3 0 0 5 3 +14.4
C. Serven 17 2-4 0-1 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -3.0
T. Gross 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -6.2
Q. Perkins II 14 1-7 0-4 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3.9
B. Pierre 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.8

* = starter