Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Western Carolina Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Western Carolina Catamounts +4 (78-74). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Zaire Williams * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | -7.6 |
| Armani Mighty * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | -3.9 |
| Quinton Perkins II * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Connor Serven * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -13.1 |
| Bendji Pierre | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +6.6 |
| Tristan Gross | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.1 |
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cord Stansberry * | 39 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +10.2 |
| Tahlan Pettway * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +11.5 |
| Marcus Kell * | 34 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +14.3 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | +9.5 |
| Samuel Dada * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +9.7 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Justin Johnson | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | -4.2 |
| Tayeshaun Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
* = starter