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Washington Wizards

Also known as: Washington Wizards
Program History

2006 Team Stats (76 games)

101.8
PPG
99.5
Opp
+2.3
Margin
44.9%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
41.1
RPG
18.8
APG
13.4
TO
95.3
Est. poss./game
100.2
Adj PPG
97.9
Adj Opp PPG
#9
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1048 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1015 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1010 (#15) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.5 More โ†’ +2.2 (#9) HCA +3.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +3.2 (#6) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.566 (#7) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.4 More โ†’ 0.566 (#7) NetEff +2.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.5 More โ†’ 0.571 (#8) AdjNet +2.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.5 More โ†’ 0.571 (#8) AdjNet +2.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 100.2 | AdjD 97.9 More โ†’ 0.550 (#9) AdjO 100.2 | AdjD 97.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 101.5 | AdjD 98.7 More โ†’ 0.562 (#7) AdjO 101.5 | AdjD 98.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.559 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.562 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 193 | GP 84 More โ†’ 1024 (#13) RD 193 | GP 84

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-02 @ Toronto Raptors W 99 - 96
2005-11-04 @ New York Knicks W 86 - 75
2005-11-05 vs Orlando Magic W 87 - 79
2005-11-09 vs LA Clippers L 97 - 102
2005-11-11 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 137 - 96
2005-11-12 vs San Antonio Spurs W 110 - 95
2005-11-15 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 99 - 114
2005-11-19 @ Brooklyn Nets L 83 - 89
2005-11-22 vs Denver Nuggets L 105 - 108
2005-11-23 @ Orlando Magic L 83 - 91
2005-11-25 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2005-11-30 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 96 - 89
2005-12-02 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 102 - 105
2005-12-06 vs Toronto Raptors W 119 - 111
2005-12-08 @ Indiana Pacers L 87 - 111
2005-12-10 vs Chicago Bulls L 111 - 118
2005-12-11 @ Miami Heat L 101 - 104
2005-12-13 vs Brooklyn Nets W 94 - 74
2005-12-16 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 91 - 97
2005-12-18 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 92 - 97
2005-12-19 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 101 - 111
2005-12-21 @ Denver Nuggets W 116 - 110
2005-12-23 @ Phoenix Suns W 112 - 111
2005-12-26 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 94 - 91
2005-12-28 vs Phoenix Suns L 99 - 104
2005-12-30 vs Miami Heat L 113 - 128
2006-01-03 vs Houston Rockets L 111 - 123
2006-01-06 @ New York Knicks L 92 - 113
2006-01-07 vs Boston Celtics W 103 - 102
2006-01-11 vs Atlanta Hawks W 103 - 72
2006-01-13 @ Indiana Pacers W 94 - 85
2006-01-14 @ Atlanta Hawks W 114 - 106
2006-01-16 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 104 - 76
2006-01-18 @ Orlando Magic L 98 - 106
2006-01-20 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 110 - 99
2006-01-22 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 82 - 93
2006-01-25 @ Boston Celtics W 89 - 87
2006-01-27 @ Chicago Bulls L 79 - 90
2006-01-28 vs Charlotte Hornets W 107 - 97
2006-01-31 vs Indiana Pacers W 84 - 79
2006-02-01 @ Toronto Raptors L 112 - 117
2006-02-04 vs Atlanta Hawks W 98 - 85
2006-02-06 vs Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2006-02-08 vs Golden State Warriors W 129 - 124
2006-02-10 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 101 - 89
2006-02-12 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 107 - 97
2006-02-13 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 96 - 97
2006-02-15 @ Dallas Mavericks L 97 - 103
2006-02-21 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 90 - 78
2006-02-24 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 102 - 94
2006-02-25 vs New York Knicks W 110 - 89
2006-02-27 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 98 - 108
2006-03-01 vs Indiana Pacers L 93 - 99
2006-03-05 vs Sacramento Kings W 117 - 107
2006-03-07 vs Boston Celtics L 115 - 116
2006-03-08 @ Miami Heat L 112 - 118
2006-03-11 vs Detroit Pistons W 110 - 92
2006-03-14 @ Charlotte Hornets W 119 - 114
2006-03-15 vs Charlotte Hornets W 107 - 99
2006-03-17 vs Dallas Mavericks L 94 - 104
2006-03-19 vs Chicago Bulls W 113 - 104
2006-03-21 vs Brooklyn Nets L 100 - 112
2006-03-23 @ Utah Jazz W 109 - 97
2006-03-25 @ LA Clippers L 101 - 116
2006-03-27 @ Golden State Warriors W 116 - 98
2006-03-28 @ Sacramento Kings W 97 - 84
2006-03-31 @ Houston Rockets L 103 - 105
2006-04-01 @ San Antonio Spurs L 99 - 106
2006-04-04 vs New York Knicks W 105 - 90
2006-04-05 @ Boston Celtics W 108 - 91
2006-04-07 @ Atlanta Hawks L 101 - 114
2006-04-08 vs Miami Heat L 86 - 99
2006-04-10 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 97 - 105
2006-04-12 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 97 - 100
2006-04-14 @ Chicago Bulls L 101 - 103
2006-04-16 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 104 - 92
2006-04-18 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 116 - 103
2006-04-19 @ Detroit Pistons W 96 - 80
2006-04-22 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 86 - 97
2006-04-25 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 89 - 84
2006-04-28 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 96 - 97
2006-04-30 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 106 - 96
2006-05-03 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 120 - 121
2006-05-05 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 113 - 114

2006 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gilbert Arenas G 74 42.3 29.6 3.5 6.0 2.0 0.3 3.7 20.7 17.0 - - - - 45.5 36.7 81.8 - 58.8 51.5
Antawn Jamison G 76 39.9 20.5 9.1 2.0 1.0 0.2 1.7 18.1 12.9 - - - - 44.6 39.2 72.3 - 52.1 49.6
Caron Butler Caron Butler G 69 36.2 17.7 6.2 2.4 1.8 0.2 2.3 14.6 11.5 - - - - 45.5 35.3 86.9 - 53.5 47.5
Jarvis Hayes G 18 25.0 10.2 3.7 1.3 0.8 0.1 1.1 9.4 5.7 - - - - 43.2 37.8 80.8 - 51.0 48.2
Antonio Daniels G 73 29.2 9.7 2.2 3.8 0.7 0.1 1.1 7.1 8.2 - - - - 41.0 23.7 84.3 - 54.3 43.2
Brendan Haywood G 73 23.5 7.3 6.0 0.6 0.4 1.3 1.2 5.5 8.8 - - - - 51.1 0 57.5 - 53.8 51.1
Jared Jeffries G 72 25.5 6.4 4.9 1.9 0.7 0.7 1.3 5.5 7.9 - - - - 45.8 29.8 59.6 - 50.5 47.6
Chucky Atkins G 25 19.7 6.3 1.6 2.6 0.5 0.0 1.1 6.2 3.8 - - - - 36.1 31.2 72.4 - 47.1 44.2
Etan Thomas G 65 15.7 4.8 4.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.7 3.4 6.1 - - - - 54.3 0 59.8 - 56.8 54.3
Donell Taylor G 48 8.9 2.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.7 2.6 1.9 - - - - 37.1 23.5 68.3 - 43.6 38.7
Andray Blatche G 27 6.1 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 2.3 1.4 - - - - 38.7 23.1 83.3 - 45.3 41.1
Billy Thomas G 17 7.7 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 2.4 1.5 - - - - 32.5 33.3 100.0 - 46.5 45.0
Awvee Storey G 24 4.3 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.9 - - - - 36.8 42.9 57.1 - 44.2 40.8
Michael Ruffin G 70 13.8 1.5 3.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 4.8 - - - - 45.2 0.0 52.9 - 49.6 45.2
Calvin Booth G 31 7.6 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.5 2.3 - - - - 42.2 50.0 55.6 - 44.9 43.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG