Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 46 | 5-24 | 1-11 | 13-14 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 43 | 3-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 37 | 14-22 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 32 | 8-13 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 47 | 15-27 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 41 | 35 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 46 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 42 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| James Posey * | 35 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Fitch * | 14 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter