Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -13 (86-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Anderson * | 37 | 6-17 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 31 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Daniels * | 45 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 12-14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 40 | 9-17 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 36 | 4-18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donell Taylor * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Billy Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Awvee Storey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter