Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | +8.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (118-112). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 46 | 10-21 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 39 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 39 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Donell Taylor * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Michael Ruffin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 13-21 | 1-3 | 13-14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 24 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 34 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Derek Anderson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter