Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -15 (113-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 18-21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 30 | - |
| James Posey * | 33 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 29 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 28 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Simien | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 43 | 4-15 | 1-1 | 10-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 42 | 15-29 | 4-9 | 13-14 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 47 | 30 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 35 | 7-19 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Michael Ruffin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Donell Taylor | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Awvee Storey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter