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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2019 Team Stats (25 games)

73.6
PPG
69.3
Opp
+4.3
Margin
43.3%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
72.4%
FT%
33.7
RPG
13.8
APG
10.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
62.2
Adj Opp PPG
#33
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1259 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1097 (#50) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +13.3 (#33) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +10.1 (#46) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.738 (#48) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.2 More โ†’ 0.902 (#34) AdjNet +19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.3 More โ†’ 0.903 (#35) AdjNet +19.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 62.2 More โ†’ 0.754 (#33) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.624 (#54) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.800 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.780 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1292 (#20) RD 104 | GP 36

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Morgan State Bears W 100 - 77
2018-11-10 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 86 - 53
2018-11-14 vs Michigan Wolverines L 46 - 73
2018-11-17 vs Furman Paladins L 68 - 76
2018-11-22 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 83 - 56
2018-11-23 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 77 - 58
2018-11-25 @ Florida State Seminoles W 66 - 60
2018-12-01 @ La Salle Explorers W 85 - 78
2018-12-05 vs Temple Owls W 69 - 59
2018-12-08 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 70 - 58
2018-12-11 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 75 - 78
2018-12-15 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 71 - 74
2018-12-22 vs UConn Huskies W 81 - 58
2019-01-02 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 73 - 68
2019-01-05 @ Providence Friars W 65 - 59
2019-01-08 vs St. John's Red Storm W 76 - 71
2019-01-13 @ Creighton Bluejays W 90 - 78
2019-01-18 vs Xavier Musketeers W 85 - 75
2019-01-22 @ Butler Bulldogs W 80 - 72
2019-01-27 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 80 - 52
2019-01-30 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 86 - 74
2019-02-03 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 77 - 65
2019-02-06 vs Creighton Bluejays W 66 - 59
2019-02-09 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 65 - 66
2019-02-13 vs Providence Friars W 85 - 67
2019-02-17 @ St. John's Red Storm L 65 - 71
2019-02-20 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 73 - 85
2019-02-24 @ Xavier Musketeers L 54 - 66
2019-02-27 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 67 - 61
2019-03-02 vs Butler Bulldogs W 75 - 54
2019-03-09 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 75 - 79
2019-03-14 vs Providence Friars W 73 - 62
2019-03-15 vs Xavier Musketeers W 71 - 67
2019-03-16 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 74 - 72
2019-03-21 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 61 - 57
2019-03-23 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 61 - 87

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Phil Booth Phil Booth G 36 35.2 18.6 3.9 3.8 0.8 0.2 2.3 11.4 13.5 144 30 4.8 5.6 42.0 35.0 73.7 4.22 69.7 50.7
Eric Paschall Eric Paschall - 36 36.1 16.5 6.1 2.1 0.7 0.5 2.3 9.6 14.1 93 29 3.2 3.6 44.7 33.1 73.4 0.0 71.4 52.0
Collin Gillespie Collin Gillespie - 35 29.5 10.9 2.4 2.8 1.1 0.1 1.5 6.7 9.0 120 29 4.1 5.8 41.0 38.0 84.0 1.22 70.5 54.5
Saddiq Bey Saddiq Bey - 36 29.6 8.2 5.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.8 5.3 9.7 113 30 3.8 4.9 46.1 38.9 63.6 0.8 72.0 57.1
Jermaine Samuels Jermaine Samuels - 35 22.0 6.4 5.4 1.0 0.4 0.8 1.0 3.9 9.1 77 29 2.7 5.1 46.4 36.9 60.0 -0.67 68.4 57.6
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree F 36 20.6 5.1 5.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.7 2.5 10.1 1 29 0.0 0.1 66.7 0 77.5 -2.34 85.0 66.7
Joe Cremo Joe Cremo G 36 16.6 4.0 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 3.1 3.7 105 30 3.5 8.6 34.5 30.6 68.8 1.83 61.9 46.4
Cole Swider Cole Swider - 21 9.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.7 4 16 0.2 1.2 34.7 26.5 71.4 -2.18 66.2 43.9
Jahvon Quinerly Jahvon Quinerly - 25 9.2 3.2 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.8 2.2 2.0 13 20 0.7 2.9 33.9 25.7 100.0 0.25 67.4 42.0
Dylan Painter Dylan Painter F 2 6.0 2.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 - - - - 66.7 0 25.0 - 52.5 66.7
Brandon Slater Brandon Slater - 15 3.5 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 -13 11 -1.2 -16.0 22.2 0.0 0.0 -3.1 20.2 22.2
Tim Delaney Tim Delaney F 7 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 -6 6 -1.0 -32.7 0 0 50.0 -2.02 56.8 0
Peyton Heck Peyton Heck G 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.24 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG