Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -27 (46-73). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Matthews * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Ignas Brazdeikis * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Zavier Simpson * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Poole * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jon Teske * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Eli Brooks | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| B. Johns Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Colin Castleton | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Nuñez | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| David DeJulius | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Baird | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Phil Booth * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Eric Paschall * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joe Cremo | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cole Swider | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jahvon Quinerly | 8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter