Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +8.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +21 (75-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Thompson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Tucker * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Sean McDermott * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nate Fowler * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Paul Jorgensen | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Joey Brunk | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Christian David | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Golden | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Booth * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 37 | - |
| Eric Paschall * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Joe Cremo | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Cole Swider | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Peyton Heck | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Delaney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jahvon Quinerly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter