Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.