Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ponds * | 39 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 5-7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| J. Simon * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| L. Figueroa * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Clark II * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Heron * | 24 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| B. Trimble Jr. | 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Keita | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 40 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Phil Booth * | 39 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Joe Cremo * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Cole Swider | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jahvon Quinerly | 11 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter