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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2012 Team Stats (4 games)

66.8
PPG
77.2
Opp
-10.5
Margin
37.0%
FG%
28.2%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
36.0
RPG
11.3
APG
15.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.6
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#84
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1131 (#108) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1027 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 954 (#231) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +7.1 (#79) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +7.3 (#73) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.507 (#165) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.5 More โ†’ 0.790 (#77) AdjNet +11.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.7 More โ†’ 0.794 (#76) AdjNet +11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.641 (#84) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 66.7 More โ†’ 0.567 (#107) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.633 (#110) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.619 (#111) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1042 (#142) RD 136 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Monmouth Hawks W 106 - 70
2011-11-15 vs La Salle Explorers W 76 - 69
2011-11-18 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 79 - 69
2011-11-24 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 71 - 46
2011-11-25 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 68 - 80
2011-11-27 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 64 - 65
2011-12-03 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 73 - 65
2011-12-06 vs Missouri Tigers L 71 - 81
2011-12-10 @ Temple Owls L 67 - 78
2011-12-13 vs Boston University Terriers W 68 - 43
2011-12-17 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 58 - 74
2011-12-22 vs American University Eagles W 73 - 52
2011-12-28 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 69 - 83
2012-01-01 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 77 - 81
2012-01-05 vs South Florida Bulls L 57 - 74
2012-01-08 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 87 - 71
2012-01-11 vs Syracuse Orange L 66 - 79
2012-01-14 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 78 - 82
2012-01-18 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 84 - 76
2012-01-25 @ Louisville Cardinals L 74 - 84
2012-01-28 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 78 - 82
2012-02-05 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 70 - 79
2012-02-07 vs Providence Friars W 74 - 72
2012-02-15 @ South Florida Bulls L 51 - 65
2012-02-18 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 70 - 74
2012-02-20 vs UConn Huskies L 70 - 73
2012-02-25 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 46 - 67
2012-03-01 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 77 - 71
2012-03-03 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 68 - 72
2012-03-06 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 70 - 49
2012-03-07 @ South Florida Bulls L 47 - 56

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maalik Wayns Maalik Wayns G 28 33.3 17.2 3.9 4.6 0.9 0.0 2.9 4.6 19.2 35 26 1.3 1.7 42.3 35.8 88.1 2.43 154.5 49.6
Dominic Cheek Dominic Cheek G 31 30.2 12.3 3.8 1.3 1.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 12.7 -1 28 0.0 -0.1 39.1 32.9 78.8 1.56 122.2 48.1
Mouphtaou Yarou Mouphtaou Yarou F 31 27.3 11.5 8.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.4 3.0 17.0 58 28 2.1 3.2 44.6 0 70.7 3.64 151.5 44.6
JayVaughn Pinkston JayVaughn Pinkston F 31 25.5 9.5 4.9 1.1 0.6 0.4 2.5 3.0 11.1 -70 28 -2.5 -4.3 43.5 42.1 70.7 -2.72 115.2 47.8
James Bell James Bell G 28 22.4 6.9 3.8 1.3 0.6 0.3 1.1 1.6 10.1 19 26 0.7 1.4 42.2 43.3 75.0 0.72 197.9 56.7
Darrun Hilliard Darrun Hilliard G 28 18.3 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.8 1.6 6.7 12 24 0.5 1.1 34.1 26.1 78.9 -0.9 129.9 40.9
Maurice Sutton Maurice Sutton F-C 23 14.8 3.9 3.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 1.2 7.0 -12 22 -0.5 -1.9 64.3 0.0 50.0 2.1 141.2 64.3
Tyrone Johnson Tyrone Johnson G 31 18.1 3.5 1.1 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.9 1.4 4.0 -86 28 -3.1 -8.4 33.3 27.3 100.0 -3.98 115.3 36.9
Markus Kennedy Markus Kennedy F 30 14.9 3.1 4.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.1 1.4 6.6 -30 27 -1.1 -3.5 42.9 0.0 11.1 -0.52 100.1 42.9
Ash Yacoubou Ash Yacoubou G 25 11.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.7 46 22 2.1 8.3 37.5 30.8 100.0 2.09 168.8 50.0
Dallas Ouano Dallas Ouano G 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.97 0 0
Nick McMahon Nick McMahon G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.0 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG