VCU Rams

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016

Also known as: VCU Rams

Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

56.7

PPG

67.4

Opp

-10.6

Margin

37.1%

FG%

28.1%

3P%

65.2%

FT%

36.1

RPG

11.9

APG

18.0

69.9

Est. poss./game

58.6

Adj PPG

64.2

Adj Opp PPG

#235

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	867 (#248)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	938 (#221)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More →	895 (#303)	HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More →	-5.5 (#229)	HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More →	-9.6 (#278)	HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.122 (#311)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.7 More →	0.122 (#311)	NetEff -14.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.5 More →	0.252 (#239)	AdjNet -9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.5 More →	0.249 (#240)	AdjNet -9.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.6 \| AdjD 64.2 More →	0.375 (#235)	AdjO 58.6 \| AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 \| AdjD 65.6 More →	0.304 (#307)	AdjO 56.5 \| AdjD 65.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.297 (#259)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.284 (#272)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 \| GP 31 More →	878 (#256)	RD 155 \| GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-05	vs	Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks	W	62 - 48
2025-11-09	@	Villanova Wildcats	L	40 - 74
2025-11-14	vs	Maine Black Bears	W	81 - 77
2025-11-17	vs	Howard Bison	W	69 - 66
2025-11-22	vs	Texas A&M Aggies	L	66 - 78
2025-11-24	@	Colorado Buffaloes	L	58 - 69
2025-11-25	@	UT Arlington Mavericks	L	39 - 61
2025-12-03	@	La Salle Explorers	L	62 - 70
2025-12-07	@	James Madison Dukes	L	63 - 81
2025-12-13	@	Temple Owls	L	63 - 88
2025-12-16	vs	American University Eagles	W	69 - 63
2025-12-19	@	Georgia Lady Bulldogs	L	53 - 72
2025-12-20	@	Penn State Lady Lions	L	66 - 78
2025-12-31	@	Saint Joseph's Hawks	L	45 - 55
2026-01-04	vs	George Mason Patriots	L	58 - 68
2026-01-07	@	Saint Louis Billikens	W	50 - 39
2026-01-11	vs	Duquesne Dukes	W	61 - 54
2026-01-14	vs	Rhode Island Rams	L	41 - 46
2026-01-18	@	Richmond Spiders	L	47 - 77
2026-01-21	vs	George Washington Revolutionaries	W	63 - 60
2026-01-24	@	Davidson Wildcats	L	51 - 66
2026-01-28	vs	Fordham Rams	W	69 - 58
2026-02-01	vs	Richmond Spiders	L	65 - 77
2026-02-07	@	Loyola Chicago Ramblers	L	55 - 66
2026-02-11	@	Rhode Island Rams	L	42 - 85
2026-02-14	vs	St. Bonaventure Bonnies	L	53 - 64
2026-02-18	vs	Davidson Wildcats	L	39 - 66
2026-02-21	@	Duquesne Dukes	L	61 - 72
2026-02-25	vs	La Salle Explorers	L	54 - 71
2026-02-28	@	Dayton Flyers	L	62 - 79
2026-03-04	@	Duquesne Dukes	L	52 - 60

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Mary-Anna Asare	G	7	29.0	17.4	3.1	1.3	1.4	0.1	4.0	15.0	4.4	-12	5	-2.4	-3.0	39.0	29.8	86.7	0.38	51.6	45.7
Katarina Knezevic	G	29	27.9	10.3	6.1	1.8	1.4	0.4	3.4	11.1	5.4	-178	25	-7.1	-10.6	35.4	28.1	63.8	1.49	43.0	40.7
Cyriah Griffin	G	31	24.3	7.5	2.0	2.0	0.9	0.1	2.6	7.6	2.3	-232	26	-8.9	-15.1	36.0	26.1	76.7	-4.0	44.6	39.8
Makennah White	F	24	19.2	7.5	4.0	0.6	0.5	0.1	1.6	7.4	3.8	-84	21	-4.0	-8.8	37.3	33.3	71.4	0.09	46.8	43.8
Patricia Augustin	G	16	25.2	6.6	4.5	1.2	1.9	0.2	1.8	6.2	6.5	-30	13	-2.3	-3.7	36.4	31.1	59.4	2.29	46.4	43.4
Lucy Ghaifan	F	29	14.6	5.8	4.3	0.5	0.9	0.2	1.5	5.1	5.0	-90	24	-3.8	-10.3	50.7	0	33.3	-0.68	49.0	50.7
Daija Preston	G	23	26.5	5.3	4.2	1.8	1.4	0.1	1.3	6.9	4.6	-82	19	-4.3	-6.7	32.3	8.1	60.7	1.32	35.8	33.2
Ann Zachariah	F	30	16.0	4.8	2.4	0.6	0.6	0.2	1.1	5.2	2.2	-149	26	-5.7	-15.5	34.0	29.7	76.0	-3.42	43.1	40.1
Tyrielle Williams	G	25	21.6	4.4	2.3	1.9	1.2	0.1	1.7	4.7	3.5	-68	20	-3.4	-6.5	33.1	32.4	75.0	1.74	45.0	43.2
L. Sotelo	F	31	14.5	3.3	2.0	0.5	0.4	0.0	1.0	2.5	2.6	-118	26	-4.5	-13.8	59.5	33.3	85.7	-4.68	61.5	60.1
L. Crespín	G	28	21.4	2.5	1.8	1.9	0.6	0.0	1.3	2.9	2.6	-143	24	-6.0	-11.2	23.2	29.4	77.3	-0.91	38.2	32.3
Tanya Tkachenko	G	29	10.9	2.2	1.6	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.7	2.2	2.1	-83	25	-3.3	-11.8	41.3	26.7	53.3	-3.02	46.0	44.4
Hawa Doumbouya	F	24	4.4	1.2	1.5	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.2	-4	18	-0.2	-2.2	32.3	0	50.0	0.16	37.3	32.3
Isabel Whitelaw	F	11	4.9	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.4	1.5	0.3	8	9	0.9	7.2	12.5	14.3	83.3	-0.58	29.5	18.8

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1788 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Katarina KnezevicCyriah GriffinMakennah WhiteLucy GhaifanAnn ZachariahDaija PrestonTyrielle WilliamsL. Crespín

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	276-485	56.9	552	Lucy Ghaifan 20% (112 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 16% (90 pts)	Cyriah Griffin 19% (40 misses)	Katarina Knezevic 17% (35 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	151-418	36.1	302	Cyriah Griffin 16% (48 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 14% (42 pts)	Lucy Ghaifan 15% (39 misses)	Katarina Knezevic 12% (33 misses)
Mid-range left	34-117	29.1	68	Katarina Knezevic 32% (22 pts)	Daija Preston 18% (12 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 31% (26 misses)	Ann Zachariah 14% (12 misses)
Mid-range center	6-40	15.0	12	Ann Zachariah 33% (4 pts)	Makennah White 33% (4 pts)	Daija Preston 26% (9 misses)	Katarina Knezevic 26% (9 misses)
Mid-range right	26-120	21.7	52	Cyriah Griffin 23% (12 pts)	Makennah White 15% (8 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 19% (18 misses)	Cyriah Griffin 18% (17 misses)
Left corner 3	25-76	32.9	75	Ann Zachariah 32% (24 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 28% (21 pts)	Ann Zachariah 25% (13 misses)	Cyriah Griffin 22% (11 misses)
Right corner 3	11-42	26.2	33	L. Crespín 36% (12 pts)	Cyriah Griffin 18% (6 pts)	Cyriah Griffin 26% (8 misses)	Daija Preston 16% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left	58-209	27.8	174	Katarina Knezevic 22% (39 pts)	Tyrielle Williams 21% (36 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 26% (40 misses)	L. Crespín 11% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 center	30-109	27.5	90	Makennah White 27% (24 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 23% (21 pts)	Tyrielle Williams 20% (16 misses)	Katarina Knezevic 16% (13 misses)
Above-break 3 right	47-172	27.3	141	Makennah White 21% (30 pts)	Cyriah Griffin 15% (21 pts)	Katarina Knezevic 20% (25 misses)	Tyrielle Williams 15% (19 misses)