Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.0% | 2.0% | -21.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sweeney | 39 | 10-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | +0.2 |
| R. Ullstrom | 38 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +3.7 |
| M. Doogan | 34 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 12-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 23 | +7.9 |
| S. Dewey | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -6.6 |
| A. Newell | 23 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +4.1 |
| T. Simon | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | +2.7 |
| A. Persichetti | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.7 |
| R. Wright | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2.0 |
| P. Richard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
| S. Campbell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Griffin | 35 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -1.4 |
| K. Knezevic | 33 | 10-19 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | +8.1 |
| L. Crespín | 31 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Ghaifan | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +11.0 |
| A. Zachariah | 21 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -8.9 |
| T. Williams | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
| M. White | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -7.2 |
| D. Preston | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| L. Sotelo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Tkachenko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
* = starter