Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +10 (55-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Asare | 35 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2 | +15.6 |
| D. Preston | 30 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +17.7 |
| P. Augustin | 27 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +0.1 |
| M. White | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | +6.5 |
| K. Knezevic | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +18.9 |
| L. Crespín | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Tkachenko | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.0 |
| C. Griffin | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.5 |
| L. Sotelo | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Zachariah | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.7 |
| T. Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| H. Doumbouya | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Stinson | 35 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | -13.3 |
| J. Jekot | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -12.8 |
| G. Casey | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -17.0 |
| R. Stokes | 26 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -13.2 |
| K. Griffin | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2.4 |
| A. Snead | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 3 | -5.1 |
| E. Knouse | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -10.2 |
| C. Kay | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.4 |
| K. Bethea | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter