Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 31 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Knezevic | 29 | 3-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Crespín | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Griffin | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. White | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Sotelo | 23 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| A. Zachariah | 17 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Ghaifan | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. Doumbouya | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| I. Whitelaw | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Tkachenko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Lear | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| O. Leung | 24 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Madol | 23 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| F. Ibrahim | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Dawkins | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. O'Riordan | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Johnson | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Monyek | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M.G. Talle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter