Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +22 (61-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrielle Williams | 28 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Cyriah Griffin | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Katarina Knezevic | 22 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -21.0 |
| Daija Preston | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.4 |
| Ann Zachariah | 19 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -8.7 |
| L. Sotelo | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -15.5 |
| L. Crespín | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -10.8 |
| Patricia Augustin | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +1.1 |
| Lucy Ghaifan | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Tanya Tkachenko | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.3 |
| Hawa Doumbouya | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Isabel Whitelaw | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kali Haizlip | 24 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +10.4 |
| Jadyn Atchison | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +16.6 |
| Kira Reynolds | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +14.9 |
| Erin Sellers | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +11.4 |
| Jeanne Rodriguez | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Mila Reynolds | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +8.1 |
| Nya Threatt | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Miraya Perkins | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +16.3 |
| Amiyah Reynolds | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +4.3 |
| Alexsyah Goudeau | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +4.7 |
* = starter