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VCU

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History
Coach: Will Wade

2016 Team Stats (8 games)

77.5
PPG
71.9
Opp
+5.6
Margin
45.0%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
72.0%
FT%
40.0
RPG
13.4
APG
10.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.2
Adj PPG
65.0
Adj Opp PPG
#35
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1320 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1207 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 1101 (#56) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +12.9 (#37) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +13.0 (#35) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.818 (#25) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.2 More → 0.902 (#37) AdjNet +19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.3 More → 0.903 (#38) AdjNet +19.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 65.0 More → 0.752 (#35) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 65.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.700 (#28) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.800 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 36 More → 1233 (#38) RD 101 | GP 36

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 75 - 50
2015-11-16 vs Radford Highlanders W 92 - 74
2015-11-20 vs Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 79
2015-11-22 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 73 - 74
2015-11-25 vs American University Eagles W 72 - 44
2015-11-28 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 76 - 67
2015-12-02 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 62 - 56
2015-12-06 @ Florida State Seminoles L 71 - 76
2015-12-15 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 64 - 77
2015-12-19 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 63 - 69
2015-12-22 vs Buffalo Bulls W 90 - 69
2015-12-27 vs Liberty Flames W 85 - 57
2015-12-30 vs North Florida Ospreys W 80 - 68
2016-01-02 vs George Mason Patriots W 71 - 47
2016-01-05 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 85 - 82
2016-01-10 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 72 - 56
2016-01-13 vs Fordham Rams W 88 - 54
2016-01-16 @ Richmond Spiders W 94 - 89
2016-01-20 vs Duquesne Dukes W 93 - 71
2016-01-23 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies - Postponed
2016-01-24 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 84 - 76
2016-01-29 @ Davidson Wildcats W 79 - 69
2016-02-03 @ La Salle Explorers W 88 - 70
2016-02-06 vs George Washington Revolutionaries L 69 - 72
2016-02-11 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 63 - 69
2016-02-13 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 85 - 52
2016-02-16 vs Rhode Island Rams W 83 - 67
2016-02-19 vs Richmond Spiders W 87 - 74
2016-02-24 @ George Mason Patriots L 69 - 76
2016-02-27 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 69 - 65
2016-03-02 vs Davidson Wildcats W 70 - 60
2016-03-05 @ Dayton Flyers L 67 - 68
2016-03-11 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 85 - 70
2016-03-12 vs Davidson Wildcats W 76 - 54
2016-03-13 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 74 - 87
2016-03-18 @ Oregon State Beavers W 75 - 67
2016-03-20 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 81 - 85

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Melvin Johnson Melvin Johnson G 36 31.5 17.4 2.7 2.2 1.3 0.1 1.5 5.6 16.6 224 26 8.6 12.8 41.0 30.9 78.1 4.35 146.7 48.2
JeQuan Lewis JeQuan Lewis G 36 28.6 11.3 2.6 5.1 1.6 0.0 2.6 3.8 14.2 174 26 6.7 10.4 50.0 42.3 93.5 0.94 130.6 58.1
Korey Billbury Korey Billbury G 36 28.0 11.1 4.9 1.2 1.1 0.1 1.3 4.0 13.0 173 26 6.7 10.9 35.4 31.0 69.8 1.66 123.1 39.9
Mo Alie-Cox Mo Alie-Cox F 36 26.7 10.4 5.1 1.0 0.7 1.9 1.4 2.3 15.4 135 26 5.2 8.8 67.5 0 71.7 1.75 176.8 67.5
Justin Tillman Justin Tillman F 36 16.5 7.2 6.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.5 12.2 136 26 5.2 14.2 53.7 0 41.2 1.91 210.6 53.7
Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed F 36 11.8 5.3 3.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.9 6.8 93 26 3.6 13.0 48.5 0 53.3 1.27 117.6 48.5
Jordan Burgess Jordan Burgess G 28 21.9 4.9 4.2 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 2.0 8.4 101 19 5.3 9.5 36.8 25.7 42.9 1.3 107.7 44.7
Doug Brooks Doug Brooks G 36 16.1 4.2 2.5 1.3 1.9 0.1 0.7 1.1 8.2 103 26 4.0 10.5 30.0 25.9 83.3 0.14 177.1 38.8
Jonathan Williams Jonathan Williams G 32 14.2 3.9 1.3 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.9 0.9 5.8 23 23 1.0 3.2 33.3 0.0 55.6 -3.46 182.6 33.3
Michael Gilmore Michael Gilmore F 30 11.5 3.2 2.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.9 5.5 45 22 2.0 8.0 50.0 33.3 50.0 -1.22 157.9 57.7
Gerron Scissum Gerron Scissum F 12 2.4 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 -8 9 -0.9 -15.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.74 300.0 0.0
Jordan Riullano Jordan Riullano G 8 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 -10 6 -1.7 -42.9 0 0 0 -3.03 0 0
Torey Burston Torey Burston G 20 3.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8 -4 14 -0.3 -3.7 0 0 0 -3.56 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG