Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korey Billbury * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Melvin Johnson * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Jonathan Williams * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 34 | - |
| Doug Brooks | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Burgess | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Torey Burston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scoochie Smith * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 43 | - |
| Charles Cooke * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Steve McElvene | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Crosby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter