Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +21 (90-69). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Massinburg * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Rodell Wigginton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Lamonte Bearden * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Nick Perkins * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Blake Hamilton * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Willie Conner | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jarryn Skeete | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| David Kadiri | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ikenna Smart | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nikola Rakicevic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Korey Billbury * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Michael Gilmore * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Doug Brooks | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Gerron Scissum | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Torey Burston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Riullano | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter