Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Johnson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 40 | - |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Korey Billbury * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Burgess * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Gilmore | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Doug Brooks | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Torey Burston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 35 | - |
| Malik Beasley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Devon Bookert | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Terance Mann | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Phil Cofer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Benji Bell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter