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2016-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +22 (93-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric James * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 1 4 13 23 -
Micah Mason * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 15 16 -
Derrick Colter * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 0 4 17 26 -
L.G. Gill * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 18 21 -
Darius Lewis * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 11 -
Jordan Robinson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
Nakye Sanders 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 2 1 0 3 -
TySean Powell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mar'Qywell Jackson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Josh Steel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Castro-Caneddy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mo Alie-Cox * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 4 2 16 22 -
Melvin Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 13 15 -
Korey Billbury * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 9 14 -
JeQuan Lewis * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 2 0 1 11 23 -
Michael Gilmore * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
Doug Brooks 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 5 1 3 16 26 -
Justin Tillman 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 15 23 -
Jonathan Williams 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
Torey Burston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Gerron Scissum 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jordan Riullano 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter