๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

VCU

Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History

2017 Team Stats (13 games)

77.3
PPG
66.5
Opp
+10.8
Margin
47.2%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
70.5%
FT%
36.5
RPG
15.2
APG
9.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.3
Adj PPG
65.9
Adj Opp PPG
#49
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1334 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1239 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1103 (#44) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +11.0 (#51) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +10.0 (#56) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.780 (#38) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More โ†’ 0.867 (#52) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.4 More โ†’ 0.869 (#52) AdjNet +16.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 65.9 More โ†’ 0.720 (#49) AdjO 76.3 | AdjD 65.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 67.4 More โ†’ 0.659 (#42) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.787 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.777 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1269 (#28) RD 110 | GP 35

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 80 - 65
2016-11-15 @ Liberty Flames W 64 - 59
2016-11-18 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 81 - 42
2016-11-23 @ Baylor Bears L 63 - 71
2016-11-24 @ St. John's Red Storm W 75 - 69
2016-11-25 vs LSU Tigers W 85 - 74
2016-11-29 vs Princeton Tigers W 81 - 70
2016-12-03 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 46 - 64
2016-12-07 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 73 - 76
2016-12-10 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 67 - 64
2016-12-17 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 80 - 77
2016-12-22 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 78 - 65
2016-12-27 vs Howard Bison W 85 - 51
2016-12-30 @ George Mason Patriots W 73 - 64
2017-01-04 @ Duquesne Dukes W 94 - 87
2017-01-07 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 81 - 64
2017-01-11 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 85 - 55
2017-01-14 @ Davidson Wildcats L 63 - 69
2017-01-18 @ Fordham Rams L 67 - 69
2017-01-22 vs La Salle Explorers W 90 - 52
2017-01-27 vs Dayton Flyers W 73 - 68
2017-02-01 vs Richmond Spiders W 81 - 74
2017-02-04 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 83 - 77
2017-02-08 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 54 - 53
2017-02-11 vs Davidson Wildcats W 74 - 60
2017-02-14 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 91 - 81
2017-02-17 @ Richmond Spiders W 84 - 73
2017-02-22 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 64 - 50
2017-02-25 @ Rhode Island Rams L 59 - 69
2017-03-01 @ Dayton Flyers L 72 - 79
2017-03-04 vs George Mason Patriots W 72 - 60
2017-03-10 vs George Mason Patriots W 71 - 60
2017-03-11 vs Richmond Spiders W 87 - 77
2017-03-12 vs Rhode Island Rams L 63 - 70
2017-03-16 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 77 - 85

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JeQuan Lewis JeQuan Lewis G 26 30.6 15.2 2.3 4.6 1.7 0.0 2.3 6.2 15.3 232 30 7.7 11.2 43.1 33.8 83.1 4.28 105.9 51.6
Justin Tillman Justin Tillman F 24 25.8 12.4 8.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.2 5.6 15.4 163 28 5.8 9.7 59.0 0 60.5 -0.06 98.9 59.0
Samir Doughty Samir Doughty G 26 23.4 9.8 3.8 2.5 1.0 0.1 2.0 4.8 10.4 228 30 7.6 14.1 46.4 39.5 75.4 3.42 84.6 52.4
Mo Alie-Cox Mo Alie-Cox F 26 25.8 8.8 3.9 0.8 0.7 2.0 1.5 3.5 11.2 245 30 8.2 13.4 57.1 0 77.1 3.12 108.1 57.1
Jonathan Williams Jonathan Williams G 25 23.4 8.1 2.1 3.4 0.7 0.1 1.4 4.8 8.2 153 30 5.1 9.5 45.4 10.0 80.5 2.22 74.1 45.8
Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed F 25 13.5 6.2 3.8 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.6 7.4 -3 29 -0.1 -0.4 49.2 0 61.2 -2.63 90.1 49.2
Doug Brooks Doug Brooks G 26 20.2 5.2 2.7 1.9 1.4 0.1 1.0 2.7 7.6 149 30 5.0 10.9 36.2 24.4 80.0 1.67 89.9 43.5
Jordan Burgess Jordan Burgess G 26 21.6 5.0 3.4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.8 2.6 6.9 45 30 1.5 3.2 43.3 40.0 36.8 -4.66 86.3 50.7
De'Riante Jenkins De'Riante Jenkins G 16 13.4 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.6 5.8 -16 16 -1.0 -3.6 48.0 53.3 50.0 -4.22 144.7 64.0
Malik Crowfield Malik Crowfield G 25 10.3 2.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 68 29 2.3 10.2 35.7 34.6 66.7 -0.09 90.4 51.8
Marquell Fraser Marquell Fraser G 11 4.5 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 -7 13 -0.5 -6.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 -3.52 82.0 50.0
Torey Burston Torey Burston G 7 7.0 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 13 10 1.3 12.6 12.5 0.0 60.0 0.08 34.3 12.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG