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Utah State

Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

82.3
PPG
71.2
Opp
+11.1
Margin
49.6%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
70.7%
FT%
34.5
RPG
17.6
APG
10.5
TO
78.7
Pace
84.9
AdjO
68.0
AdjD
#31
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1346 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1295 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1159 (#14) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +17.2 (#30) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +29.8 (#23) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.823 (#22) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.6 More → 0.194 (#282) NetEff -14.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.6 More → 0.931 (#29) AdjNet +22.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.7 More → 0.932 (#30) AdjNet +22.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.824 (#31) AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.747 (#20) AdjO 80.3 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.941 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.924 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 35 More → 1335 (#18) RD 103 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Westminster (UT) Griffins W 110 - 54
2025-11-07 vs VCU Rams W 80 - 77
2025-11-12 vs Weber State Wildcats W 83 - 73
2025-11-15 vs UTEP Miners W 75 - 51
2025-11-21 @ Tulane Green Wave W 96 - 75
2025-11-23 @ Davidson Wildcats W 94 - 60
2025-11-29 vs Montana State Bobcats W 84 - 81
2025-12-04 @ South Florida Bulls L 61 - 74
2025-12-13 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 83 - 78
2025-12-20 vs Colorado State Rams W 100 - 58
2025-12-30 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 72 - 63
2026-01-03 vs San José State Spartans W 96 - 78
2026-01-06 @ Air Force Falcons W 99 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Boise State Broncos W 93 - 68
2026-01-14 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 71 - 62
2026-01-17 @ Grand Canyon Lopes L 74 - 84
2026-01-20 vs UNLV Rebels L 76 - 86
2026-01-23 @ Colorado State Rams W 65 - 61
2026-01-28 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 94 - 62
2026-01-31 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 71 - 66
2026-02-04 @ New Mexico Lobos W 86 - 66
2026-02-07 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 85 - 83
2026-02-10 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 91 - 78
2026-02-14 vs Memphis Tigers W 99 - 75
2026-02-18 vs Boise State Broncos W 75 - 56
2026-02-21 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 77 - 80
2026-02-25 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 72 - 89
2026-02-28 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 74 - 69
2026-03-03 @ UNLV Rebels L 65 - 92
2026-03-07 vs New Mexico Lobos W 94 - 90
2026-03-12 vs UNLV Rebels W 80 - 60
2026-03-13 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 79 - 66
2026-03-14 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 73 - 62
2026-03-20 @ Villanova Wildcats W 86 - 76
2026-03-22 @ Arizona Wildcats L 66 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
MJ Collins MJ Collins G 35 30.9 17.5 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 1.0 12.1 9.4 213 10.7 14.9 48.6 36.6 81.1 1.8 62.8 58.3
M. Falslev M. Falslev - 35 32.1 15.8 5.7 3.0 1.9 0.3 1.5 11.3 13.9 212 9.6 17.2 51.1 40.0 75.0 0.73 60.9 57.2
Karson Templin Karson Templin - 35 19.1 8.7 4.3 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 6.1 8.4 161 7.3 18.6 50.2 31.1 64.9 1.2 58.2 54.7
D. Allen D. Allen - 34 25.6 8.0 3.0 4.8 2.0 0.4 2.0 5.9 10.3 167 8.8 16.2 46.3 32.9 61.9 1.62 56.0 53.0
K. King K. King G 35 19.1 7.6 3.3 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.8 4.9 7.5 105 5.0 11.7 48.3 39.5 74.7 0.58 65.1 61.3
G. Clark G. Clark F 35 16.8 7.0 4.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.7 4.1 8.1 109 4.7 12.8 70.8 14.3 53.9 0.58 69.3 71.2
Adlan Elamin Adlan Elamin - 34 19.5 6.8 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.9 5.4 5.7 142 7.1 18.2 44.6 30.9 82.2 1.2 56.4 52.4
Elijah Perryman Elijah Perryman - 35 13.9 4.5 1.6 3.0 0.8 0.2 1.4 3.7 5.1 59 2.8 7.8 44.2 30.2 80.0 0.01 54.7 50.4
Z. Keller Z. Keller - 34 13.6 3.5 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.3 73 3.6 13.4 56.2 47.1 58.3 0.67 62.1 61.3
T. Anderson T. Anderson - 24 11.7 3.3 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.8 2.7 292 12.7 22.3 40.3 34.8 71.4 -0.09 54.7 52.2
L. Kearney L. Kearney - 11 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.9 14 1.3 17.5 38.9 28.6 100.0 -0.11 53.0 50.0
Jordy Barnes Jordy Barnes - 16 5.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 -19 -1.4 -10.1 22.2 23.1 50.0 -0.01 32.9 30.6
Brayden Boe Brayden Boe G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kingston Tosi Kingston Tosi F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
David Iweze David Iweze F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG