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Grand Canyon Lopes

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Grand Canyon Lopes
Program History
Coach: Bryce Drew

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

75.5
PPG
68.2
Opp
+7.3
Margin
45.5%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
75.6%
FT%
36.3
RPG
12.6
APG
12.3
TO
78.8
Pace
77.2
AdjO
66.5
AdjD
#65
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1042 (#145) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1149 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1051 (#105) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +10.6 (#63) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +25.8 (#43) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.752 (#46) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.4 More → 0.541 (#163) NetEff +1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More → 0.839 (#62) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.4 More → 0.841 (#63) AdjNet +14.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.725 (#65) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.692 (#45) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 66.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.877 (#64) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.852 (#61) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 31 More → 1166 (#82) RD 133 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 90 - 71
2025-11-07 vs Youngstown State Penguins L 81 - 90
2025-11-10 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 88 - 59
2025-11-15 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 64 - 78
2025-11-21 vs Northwestern State Demons W 85 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Utah Utes W 68 - 58
2025-11-26 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 46 - 59
2025-12-02 vs Stetson Hatters W 67 - 45
2025-12-13 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 82 - 61
2025-12-20 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 82 - 70
2025-12-22 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 91 - 78
2026-01-03 vs Colorado State Rams L 60 - 70
2026-01-07 @ Boise State Broncos W 75 - 58
2026-01-10 vs San José State Spartans W 76 - 58
2026-01-13 @ New Mexico Lobos L 64 - 87
2026-01-17 vs Utah State Aggies W 84 - 74
2026-01-21 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 70 - 69
2026-01-24 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 68 - 57
2026-01-27 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 60 - 66
2026-01-30 vs Boise State Broncos W 86 - 69
2026-02-03 vs Air Force Falcons W 81 - 57
2026-02-07 @ UNLV Rebels L 78 - 80
2026-02-11 vs New Mexico Lobos L 64 - 70
2026-02-14 @ San José State Spartans W 94 - 79
2026-02-17 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 73 - 63
2026-02-21 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 65 - 70
2026-02-25 vs UNLV Rebels W 80 - 67
2026-02-28 @ Utah State Aggies L 69 - 74
2026-03-03 @ Air Force Falcons W 86 - 60
2026-03-07 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 85 - 60
2026-03-12 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 80 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Henley J. Henley - 31 31.4 17.8 5.6 2.9 1.6 0.3 2.8 12.7 12.7 108 5.1 7.3 47.0 28.0 75.6 0.82 57.4 51.1
M. Williams M. Williams G 31 27.1 14.1 2.7 2.4 0.9 0.2 1.7 10.5 8.1 68 3.1 5.7 42.9 33.7 78.6 0.31 57.1 51.4
B. Moore Jr. B. Moore Jr. G 28 27.6 9.6 2.4 2.6 0.6 0.1 1.6 6.8 7.0 129 6.1 9.5 49.7 39.1 69.7 0.39 58.7 54.5
N. Owusu-Anane N. Owusu-Anane - 31 33.0 9.5 8.5 1.8 1.5 0.8 1.2 7.6 13.3 139 6.6 9.3 44.1 36.3 72.6 1.09 55.8 52.8
Efe Demirel Efe Demirel - 31 22.2 8.1 5.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.3 4.9 9.0 4 0.2 0.4 60.9 0 75.3 -0.25 66.0 60.9
C. Shaw C. Shaw G 20 20.3 7.2 3.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 1.3 5.8 5.8 67 3.5 7.4 47.4 35.8 73.3 0.42 59.1 57.8
D. Stromer D. Stromer - 31 22.8 6.5 2.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 1.0 5.8 4.0 62 3.0 5.4 35.6 33.6 80.0 0.19 50.3 45.8
W. Breidenbach W. Breidenbach - 28 12.6 2.8 2.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.6 2.2 3.5 84 4.0 13.3 38.7 13.8 80.6 0.86 50.9 41.9
D. Evans D. Evans - 25 8.4 2.6 1.9 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.4 1.4 4.1 32 2.3 14.6 66.7 0 75.0 0.29 70.9 66.7
K. Smith K. Smith - 21 8.1 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.8 -3 -0.2 -1.0 19.4 11.1 77.8 -0.28 34.2 22.2
Evan Boisdur Evan Boisdur - 15 4.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.3 -8 -0.9 -10.6 28.6 16.7 75.0 -0.22 37.3 33.3
Cole Pepe Cole Pepe - 8 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 2 0.4 38.7 33.3 33.3 0 -0.04 50.0 50.0
J. Sawyer J. Sawyer F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Braylon Johnson Braylon Johnson G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 75 3.3 8.1 0 0 0 0.45 0 0
Luke Shaw Luke Shaw G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG