Northwestern State Demons

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2016

Also known as: Northwestern State Demons

Program History

Coach: Rick Cabrera

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

67.9

PPG

72.4

Opp

-4.6

Margin

43.5%

FG%

33.0%

3P%

74.0%

FT%

31.2

RPG

12.2

APG

11.6

73.9

Pace

66.6

AdjO

75.2

AdjD

#288

Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	849 (#294)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	760 (#342)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More →	937 (#611)	HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More →	-7.8 (#277)	HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More →	+7.3 (#275)	HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.244 (#314)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.0 More →	0.231 (#268)	NetEff -10.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.8 More →	0.205 (#288)	AdjNet -11.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.8 More →	0.203 (#288)	AdjNet -11.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.6 \| AdjD 75.2 More →	0.314 (#288)	AdjO 66.6 \| AdjD 75.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 \| AdjD 67.5 More →	0.463 (#438)	AdjO 65.9 \| AdjD 67.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.542 (#317)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.512 (#319)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 \| GP 30 More →	872 (#571)	RD 147 \| GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	@	Texas A&M Aggies	L	68 - 98
2025-11-06	@	North Texas Mean Green	L	53 - 80
2025-11-11	@	North Alabama Lions	L	83 - 87
2025-11-14	vs	Ecclesia Royals	W	95 - 75
2025-11-18	@	San Francisco Dons	L	64 - 84
2025-11-21	@	Grand Canyon Lopes	L	72 - 85
2025-11-29	vs	Southern Jaguars	L	73 - 75
2025-12-05	@	McNeese Cowboys	L	54 - 92
2025-12-13	@	California Golden Bears	L	70 - 79
2025-12-20	vs	Southern-New Orleans Knights	W	108 - 55
2025-12-29	vs	Lamar Cardinals	L	61 - 76
2025-12-31	vs	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	L	64 - 74
2026-01-03	vs	New Orleans Privateers	W	74 - 68
2026-01-05	@	Nicholls Colonels	L	72 - 74
2026-01-10	vs	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders	W	79 - 78
2026-01-12	vs	UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros	W	64 - 63
2026-01-19	@	Houston Christian Huskies	L	80 - 82
2026-01-24	vs	East Texas A&M Lions	-	Preview
2026-01-26	@	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks	L	67 - 69
2026-01-31	@	New Orleans Privateers	L	64 - 75
2026-02-02	vs	Nicholls Colonels	L	58 - 61
2026-02-04	vs	East Texas A&M Lions	L	68 - 74
2026-02-07	@	East Texas A&M Lions	L	48 - 52
2026-02-09	@	Lamar Cardinals	W	70 - 68
2026-02-14	vs	SE Louisiana Lions	W	69 - 66
2026-02-16	vs	McNeese Cowboys	L	64 - 75
2026-02-21	vs	Houston Christian Huskies	W	71 - 53
2026-02-23	vs	Incarnate Word Cardinals	W	54 - 49
2026-02-28	@	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders	L	59 - 71
2026-03-02	@	UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros	L	62 - 74
2026-03-08	@	Nicholls Colonels	L	47 - 61

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Micah Thomas	G	29	30.0	16.7	1.9	2.6	0.8	0.1	2.3	12.7	7.1	-77	-3.5	-5.6	42.0	37.4	92.0	-0.46	56.2	48.2
I. Miles	-	29	24.1	10.3	2.7	1.3	0.8	0.2	1.7	7.2	6.5	-122	-5.8	-10.7	43.5	40.0	73.4	-1.43	56.7	49.8
W. Williams	F	23	29.6	9.7	8.4	1.6	1.0	0.8	1.5	7.0	13.0	-19	-1.2	-2.0	61.7	50.0	46.7	-0.17	61.3	62.3
J. Redmond	-	20	17.3	7.0	1.5	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.9	6.4	3.1	-71	-3.5	-9.0	35.2	33.3	83.3	-1.03	49.2	44.5
C. Mubiru	G	29	26.4	6.7	3.8	1.9	0.7	0.5	1.0	5.5	7.2	-48	-2.2	-4.6	42.8	27.1	81.8	0.05	54.7	50.0
O. Adegbola	-	18	15.0	5.7	2.0	0.6	0.7	0.0	0.8	4.4	3.8	-95	-4.8	-14.2	41.2	30.8	82.9	-0.3	54.0	46.2
L. Jumawan	G	27	21.0	5.0	2.2	0.9	0.6	0.0	0.6	5.0	3.0	-116	-6.1	-12.8	28.1	27.4	77.1	-0.63	44.5	39.6
Kordrick Turner	-	29	13.9	4.4	2.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.5	2.7	4.5	-54	-2.6	-8.2	53.8	0.0	59.7	-0.49	57.9	53.8
J. Riley Jr.	C	20	11.1	3.5	2.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.4	2.6	4.2	-53	-3.8	-11.5	52.8	50.0	86.7	-0.38	58.7	53.8
C. Brunt	-	27	11.1	2.9	1.2	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.7	1.9	3.1	-17	-0.9	-3.9	48.0	45.5	75.0	-0.05	60.1	53.0
Cj Larry	-	23	18.8	2.7	1.4	1.6	0.6	0.1	1.4	2.7	2.3	53	3.8	11.5	32.3	46.7	53.6	0.91	41.7	37.9
Moustapha Loum	-	19	11.7	2.5	1.8	0.2	0.3	0.7	0.4	1.7	3.4	-80	-4.4	-17.1	62.5	0	36.4	-0.45	57.6	62.5
Q. Bolton Jr.	G	8	6.2	1.0	1.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.5	2.2	-0.2	1	0.2	1.7	16.7	15.4	0	-0.22	22.2	22.2
Seth Ned	G	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG