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Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Program History
Coach: Kyle Keller

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

76.0
PPG
65.9
Opp
+9.9
Margin
44.6%
FG%
36.1%
3P%
68.2%
FT%
37.1
RPG
13.5
APG
9.5
TO
78.8
Pace
74.8
AdjO
70.2
AdjD
#108
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1176 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1221 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1136 (#27) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +5.4 (#103) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +18.3 (#102) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.793 (#34) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.6 More → 0.811 (#74) NetEff +11.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.686 (#104) AdjNet +6.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.687 (#105) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.602 (#108) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.657 (#62) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 67.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.862 (#72) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.836 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 32 More → 1247 (#45) RD 127 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Millsaps Majors W 103 - 76
2025-11-07 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 90 - 65
2025-11-11 @ Rice Owls W 81 - 69
2025-11-14 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 76 - 66
2025-11-18 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 78 - 80
2025-11-21 @ Pepperdine Waves W 63 - 60
2025-11-29 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 61 - 66
2025-12-03 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 73 - 60
2025-12-17 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 69 - 60
2025-12-21 vs Dallas Crusaders W 103 - 55
2025-12-29 @ East Texas A&M Lions W 75 - 48
2025-12-31 @ Northwestern State Demons W 74 - 64
2026-01-03 @ SE Louisiana Lions W 73 - 63
2026-01-05 @ McNeese Cowboys L 64 - 66
2026-01-10 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 85 - 67
2026-01-12 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 56 - 46
2026-01-19 @ Nicholls Colonels W 79 - 62
2026-01-24 @ Lamar Cardinals W 88 - 81
2026-01-26 vs Northwestern State Demons W 69 - 67
2026-01-31 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 85 - 58
2026-02-02 vs McNeese Cowboys W 67 - 60
2026-02-07 vs Lamar Cardinals W 84 - 74
2026-02-09 vs East Texas A&M Lions W 74 - 70
2026-02-14 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 66 - 57
2026-02-16 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 78 - 68
2026-02-21 vs Nicholls Colonels W 81 - 78
2026-02-23 vs New Orleans Privateers L 73 - 77
2026-02-28 @ Houston Christian Huskies W 77 - 56
2026-03-02 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 76 - 68
2026-03-10 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 60 - 58
2026-03-11 vs McNeese Cowboys L 59 - 76
2026-03-17 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 84 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Thompson K. Thompson - 31 29.6 18.1 4.7 4.4 1.2 0.1 2.6 13.5 12.4 197 9.4 19.2 48.9 33.3 69.2 0.94 56.3 52.0
L. Patrick L. Patrick - 31 28.4 15.1 3.0 1.7 1.3 0.2 1.5 12.8 6.9 - - - 39.4 33.9 81.8 - 52.4 47.5
Narit Chotikavanic Narit Chotikavanic - 31 22.5 9.4 3.0 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.4 7.6 6.0 28 2.3 23.4 40.3 39.7 69.7 0.39 58.3 57.0
K. Burton K. Burton - 31 18.8 8.1 2.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 6.3 4.1 82 3.9 11.8 40.0 41.8 85.2 -0.23 60.4 58.2
C. Christmas C. Christmas - 31 28.8 6.1 6.8 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.8 5.0 10.3 214 9.7 18.9 53.2 0.0 47.2 0.79 53.3 53.2
J. Colonel J. Colonel F 31 25.2 5.0 7.2 1.2 0.9 2.6 0.7 4.1 12.2 47 3.4 39.9 51.2 0.0 55.3 0.39 52.8 51.2
Gediminas Alisas Gediminas Alisas - 31 13.9 4.7 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.3 4.6 47 3.9 47.0 62.4 0.0 65.6 0.1 63.9 62.4
Ahamed Mohammed Ahamed Mohammed - 31 15.9 4.4 1.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 4.0 3.5 41 3.4 42.1 35.0 32.2 76.2 0.1 48.4 42.7
Marcus Scurry Marcus Scurry - 26 7.2 3.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.8 0.9 19 1.1 10.3 40.3 35.7 58.3 -0.26 51.8 50.7
T. Musaka T. Musaka - 7 4.0 1.9 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.4 2.9 1 0.2 72.7 60.0 0.0 20.0 -0.0 53.3 60.0
Eltramon Smith Jr. Eltramon Smith Jr. - 14 7.5 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.5 1.3 69 6.9 232.3 34.3 13.6 0.0 0.26 37.2 38.6
Bryceson Melvin Bryceson Melvin - 3 6.7 1.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 0.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 50.0 - 23.0 20.0
C. Green C. Green G 26 7.1 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.8 0 0.0 0.0 52.2 0 33.3 -0.37 51.4 52.2
Harris Dar Harris Dar - 7 3.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Yohan Gutierrez Yohan Gutierrez F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG