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Charlotte

Also known as: Charlotte 49ers, Charlotte
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

77.5
PPG
68.5
Opp
+9.0
Margin
49.5%
FG%
41.9%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
37.5
RPG
11.5
APG
13.0
TO
65.3
Est. poss./game
70.7
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#133
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 939 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning -36, transfers +6, freshmen -20 More โ†’ 988 (#143) Preseason prior 939 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning -36, transfers +6, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +250 elo More โ†’ 1010 (#141) HCA +250 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +250 elo More โ†’ 1021 (#127) HCA +250 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +7.9 More โ†’ +7.2 (#86) HCA +7.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +7.9 More โ†’ +7.2 (#85) HCA +7.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.578 (#133) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.1 More โ†’ 0.539 (#133) AdjNet +6.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.0 More โ†’ 0.539 (#133) AdjNet +6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.542 (#133) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.548 (#125) AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.577 (#127) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.578 (#126) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 201 | GP 2 More โ†’ 1016 (#139) RD 201 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More โ†’ 0.424 (#173) Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 78 - 70
2026-11-05 vs Georgia State Panthers W 77 - 67
2026-11-09 vs Seton Hall Pirates - Preview
2026-11-13 vs App State Mountaineers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keyshuan Tillery Keyshuan Tillery G 2 33.0 26.5 2.5 3.0 1.5 0.5 3.5 16.0 14.5 1 1 1.0 1.2 53.1 56.2 100.0 -0.2 72.8 67.2
Dorian Finister Dorian Finister G 2 30.0 9.5 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 6.5 13.5 19 1 19.0 27.6 46.2 50.0 75.0 0.11 57.5 50.0
Frank Oguche Frank Oguche G 2 20.0 9.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.5 7.5 11 1 11.0 20.5 45.5 42.9 100.0 0.29 68.2 59.1
Miguel Allen Miguel Allen F 2 14.5 7.5 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 3.0 9.0 -10 1 -10.0 -43.1 100.0 0 100.0 -0.39 102.5 100.0
Dylan Grant Dylan Grant F 2 17.0 6.0 5.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.5 6.5 5 1 5.0 12.6 55.6 50.0 25.0 0.13 55.8 61.1
Michael Walz Michael Walz C 2 15.5 5.5 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.5 4.0 16 1 16.0 36.9 55.6 33.3 0 0.89 61.1 61.1
Arden Conyers Arden Conyers F 2 9.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.5 4 1 4.0 14.3 40.0 40.0 0 -0.39 60.0 60.0
Tyler McKinley Tyler McKinley F 2 16.5 3.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.5 -11 1 -11.0 -27.4 50.0 0 33.3 -0.9 45.2 50.0
Jayden Fort Jayden Fort F 2 11.0 2.5 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 6.0 15 1 15.0 41.6 66.7 0 50.0 0.55 64.4 66.7
Jordi Rodriguez Jordi Rodriguez G 2 16.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 2.5 -2 1 -2.0 -6.7 28.6 16.7 0 -1.17 35.7 35.7
Chaze Harris Chaze Harris G 2 10.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.5 -2.0 -4 1 -4.0 -10.1 14.3 0.0 50.0 0.38 19.0 14.3
Peyton Marshall Peyton Marshall C 2 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 -4 1 -4.0 -24.0 50.0 0 0 -0.58 50.0 50.0
Lance Barnes Lance Barnes G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ryan Evans Ryan Evans G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Charlotte players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Charlotte game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Caleb Stone-Carrawell 2020-21 G League Raptors 905 0 - - - - 11-06 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Play-In 1 GP, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG
Igor Milicic Jr. 2022-24 G League Westchester Knicks 0 - - - - 11-08 17 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast Play-In 2 GP, 14.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 1.5 APG
Jahmir Young 2019-22 G League South Bay Lakers 0 - - - - 11-06 9 pts, 1 reb, 4 ast Play-In 1 GP, 9.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 4.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-08 Igor Milicic Jr. G League Play-In Westchester Knicks @ Maine Celtics 30 17 6 2 Box
2026-11-06 Jahmir Young G League Play-In South Bay Lakers vs Salt Lake City Stars 20 9 1 4 Box
2026-11-06 Igor Milicic Jr. G League Play-In Westchester Knicks @ Maine Celtics 17 11 3 1 Box
2026-11-06 Caleb Stone-Carrawell G League Play-In Raptors 905 @ College Park Skyhawks 12 0 0 0 Box
2026-10-10 Brice Williams NBA Preseason Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards 11 0 2 1 Box
2026-10-05 Brice Williams NBA Preseason Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns 6 3 0 1 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

109 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Tillery20% Allen25% Finister100% Tillery100% Conyers50% Grant50% Tillery40% Tillery100% Tillery71%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Tillery33% Finister31% Finister50% Oguche50% Harris25% Harris50% Conyers50% Rodriguez33% Tillery40% Oguche30%
Misses: who misses most here

Keyshuan TilleryDorian FinisterFrank OgucheMiguel AllenDylan GrantArden ConyersJordi RodriguezChaze Harris

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 25-34 73.5 50 Keyshuan Tillery 20% (10 pts) Dylan Grant 16% (8 pts) Keyshuan Tillery 33% (3 misses) Chaze Harris 11% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 8-21 38.1 16 Miguel Allen 25% (4 pts) Dorian Finister 12% (2 pts) Dorian Finister 31% (4 misses) Keyshuan Tillery 23% (3 misses)
Mid-range left 1-3 33.3 2 Dorian Finister 100% (2 pts) - Dorian Finister 50% (1 misses) Michael Walz 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-2 0.0 0 - - Frank Oguche 50% (1 misses) Keyshuan Tillery 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-6 33.3 4 Keyshuan Tillery 100% (4 pts) - Chaze Harris 25% (1 misses) Dorian Finister 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Arden Conyers 50% (3 pts) Frank Oguche 50% (3 pts) Chaze Harris 50% (1 misses) Frank Oguche 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Dylan Grant 50% (3 pts) Frank Oguche 50% (3 pts) Arden Conyers 50% (1 misses) Jordi Rodriguez 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 5-11 45.5 15 Keyshuan Tillery 40% (6 pts) Arden Conyers 20% (3 pts) Jordi Rodriguez 33% (2 misses) Keyshuan Tillery 33% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-7 28.6 6 Keyshuan Tillery 100% (6 pts) - Keyshuan Tillery 40% (2 misses) Arden Conyers 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 7-17 41.2 21 Keyshuan Tillery 71% (15 pts) Frank Oguche 14% (3 pts) Frank Oguche 30% (3 misses) Keyshuan Tillery 30% (3 misses)