Charlotte
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 988 (#143) | Preseason prior 939 (returning production + recruiting): last season 988, returning -36, transfers +6, freshmen -20 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1010 (#141) | HCA +250 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1021 (#127) | HCA +250 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +7.2 (#86) | HCA +7.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +7.2 (#85) | HCA +7.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.578 (#133) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.539 (#133) | AdjNet +6.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.539 (#133) | AdjNet +6.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.542 (#133) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.548 (#125) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.577 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.578 (#126) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1016 (#139) | RD 201 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.424 (#173) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Indiana State Sycamores | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Georgia State Panthers | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Seton Hall Pirates | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | App State Mountaineers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keyshuan Tillery
|
G | 2 | 33.0 | 26.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 16.0 | 14.5 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 53.1 | 56.2 | 100.0 | -0.2 | 72.8 | 67.2 |
Dorian Finister
|
G | 2 | 30.0 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 13.5 | 19 | 1 | 19.0 | 27.6 | 46.2 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 0.11 | 57.5 | 50.0 |
Frank Oguche
|
G | 2 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 11 | 1 | 11.0 | 20.5 | 45.5 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.29 | 68.2 | 59.1 |
Miguel Allen
|
F | 2 | 14.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -10 | 1 | -10.0 | -43.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 102.5 | 100.0 |
Dylan Grant
|
F | 2 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 12.6 | 55.6 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.13 | 55.8 | 61.1 |
Michael Walz
|
C | 2 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 16 | 1 | 16.0 | 36.9 | 55.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.89 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
Arden Conyers
|
F | 2 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 | 14.3 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.39 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
Tyler McKinley
|
F | 2 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.5 | -11 | 1 | -11.0 | -27.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -0.9 | 45.2 | 50.0 |
Jayden Fort
|
F | 2 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 15 | 1 | 15.0 | 41.6 | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.55 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
Jordi Rodriguez
|
G | 2 | 16.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -6.7 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 0 | -1.17 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
Chaze Harris
|
G | 2 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | -2.0 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -10.1 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.38 | 19.0 | 14.3 |
Peyton Marshall
|
C | 2 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -24.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.58 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Lance Barnes
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Ryan Evans
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Charlotte players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Charlotte game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Stone-Carrawell | 2020-21 | G League | Raptors 905 | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-06 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Igor Milicic Jr. | 2022-24 | G League | Westchester Knicks | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-08 17 pts, 6 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 14.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 1.5 APG |
| Jahmir Young | 2019-22 | G League | South Bay Lakers | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-06 9 pts, 1 reb, 4 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 9.0 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 4.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | Igor Milicic Jr. | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 30 | 17 | 6 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Jahmir Young | G League Play-In | South Bay Lakers | vs Salt Lake City Stars | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Igor Milicic Jr. | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 17 | 11 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Caleb Stone-Carrawell | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | @ College Park Skyhawks | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-10 | Brice Williams | NBA Preseason | Detroit Pistons | @ Washington Wizards | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-05 | Brice Williams | NBA Preseason | Detroit Pistons | vs Phoenix Suns | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
109 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Keyshuan TilleryDorian FinisterFrank OgucheMiguel AllenDylan GrantArden ConyersJordi RodriguezChaze Harris
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 25-34 | 73.5 | 50 | Keyshuan Tillery 20% (10 pts) | Dylan Grant 16% (8 pts) | Keyshuan Tillery 33% (3 misses) | Chaze Harris 11% (1 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 8-21 | 38.1 | 16 | Miguel Allen 25% (4 pts) | Dorian Finister 12% (2 pts) | Dorian Finister 31% (4 misses) | Keyshuan Tillery 23% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Dorian Finister 100% (2 pts) | - | Dorian Finister 50% (1 misses) | Michael Walz 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Frank Oguche 50% (1 misses) | Keyshuan Tillery 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Keyshuan Tillery 100% (4 pts) | - | Chaze Harris 25% (1 misses) | Dorian Finister 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-4 | 50.0 | 6 | Arden Conyers 50% (3 pts) | Frank Oguche 50% (3 pts) | Chaze Harris 50% (1 misses) | Frank Oguche 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-4 | 50.0 | 6 | Dylan Grant 50% (3 pts) | Frank Oguche 50% (3 pts) | Arden Conyers 50% (1 misses) | Jordi Rodriguez 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-11 | 45.5 | 15 | Keyshuan Tillery 40% (6 pts) | Arden Conyers 20% (3 pts) | Jordi Rodriguez 33% (2 misses) | Keyshuan Tillery 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Keyshuan Tillery 100% (6 pts) | - | Keyshuan Tillery 40% (2 misses) | Arden Conyers 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-17 | 41.2 | 21 | Keyshuan Tillery 71% (15 pts) | Frank Oguche 14% (3 pts) | Frank Oguche 30% (3 misses) | Keyshuan Tillery 30% (3 misses) |