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2026-10-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 14.6% 85.4% +7.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +2 (109-107). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khaman Maluach * 16 3-5 0-1 0-3 2 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
Dillon Brooks * 15 4-7 2-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
Jalen Green * 15 3-6 1-4 4-6 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
Devin Booker * 15 4-7 1-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 2 13 10 -
Miles Bridges * 14 3-8 1-3 1-1 5 4 1 0 1 8 9 -
Oso Ighodaro * 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 3 9 -
Rasheer Fleming 18 1-4 1-2 0-2 5 1 2 0 1 3 6 -
Jamaree Bouyea 17 3-9 2-5 1-3 2 2 1 0 4 9 1 -
Collin Gillespie 16 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 8 6 -
Ryan Dunn 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 0 -
Luke Kennard 15 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
Haywood Highsmith 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 2 0 -
Koa Peat 12 2-5 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Jordan Goodwin 11 3-6 1-2 0-1 6 1 3 0 1 7 10 -
Kennedy Chandler 8 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
Duop Reath 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Pat Spencer 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 1 -1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Reed * 20 2-6 0-0 6-6 7 3 1 1 1 10 15 -
Ausar Thompson * 18 5-8 0-0 0-1 2 2 3 1 1 10 9 -
John Collins * 16 5-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 10 6 -
Cade Cunningham * 16 3-8 2-4 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
Duncan Robinson * 13 3-4 3-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
Ronald Holland II 23 4-12 1-4 5-8 4 1 5 2 3 14 11 -
Daniss Jenkins 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 5 3 -
Kevin Huerter 17 0-2 0-1 4-5 0 0 2 1 1 4 4 -
Isaiah Joe 17 2-8 1-6 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
Tolu Smith 15 0-0 0-0 1-6 5 1 0 0 0 1 7 -
Chaz Lanier 14 1-4 1-4 2-4 3 0 2 0 2 5 4 -
Javonte Green 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 6 6 -
Taurean Prince 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
Ebuka Okorie 10 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 7 6 -
Isaac Jones 7 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 2 2 5 6 -
Brice Williams 6 0-1 0-1 3-3 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter