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UCLA

Also known as: UCLA Bruins, UCLA
Program History

2011 Team Stats (7 games)

75.6
PPG
69.4
Opp
+6.1
Margin
47.5%
FG%
30.9%
3P%
65.5%
FT%
37.3
RPG
14.9
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.8
Adj PPG
62.6
Adj Opp PPG
#61
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1187 (#71) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1166 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1074 (#64) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +10.2 (#59) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +10.2 (#52) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.633 (#101) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.5 More โ†’ 0.870 (#52) AdjNet +16.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.7 More โ†’ 0.873 (#51) AdjNet +16.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 62.6 More โ†’ 0.697 (#61) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 62.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 62.8 More โ†’ 0.622 (#64) AdjO 68.3 | AdjD 62.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.745 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.732 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1166 (#61) RD 113 | GP 30

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 83 - 50
2010-11-15 vs Pepperdine Waves W 79 - 69
2010-11-16 vs Pacific Tigers W 57 - 44
2010-11-24 @ Villanova Wildcats L 70 - 82
2010-11-26 vs VCU Rams L 85 - 89
2010-12-02 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 76 - 77
2010-12-05 vs Montana Grizzlies L 57 - 66
2010-12-11 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 72 - 61
2010-12-13 vs UC Davis Aggies W 74 - 67
2010-12-18 vs BYU Cougars W 86 - 79
2010-12-21 vs Montana State Bobcats W 75 - 59
2010-12-23 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 74 - 73
2010-12-29 vs Washington State Cougars W 80 - 71
2010-12-31 vs Washington Huskies L 63 - 74
2011-01-09 @ USC Trojans L 52 - 63
2011-01-15 @ Oregon Ducks W 67 - 59
2011-01-20 vs California Golden Bears W 86 - 84
2011-01-22 vs Stanford Cardinal W 68 - 57
2011-01-27 @ Arizona Wildcats L 74 - 85
2011-01-29 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 73 - 72
2011-02-02 vs USC Trojans W 64 - 50
2011-02-17 @ Stanford Cardinal W 69 - 65
2011-02-20 @ California Golden Bears L 72 - 76
2011-02-24 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 71 - 53
2011-02-26 vs Arizona Wildcats W 71 - 49
2011-03-03 @ Washington Huskies L 63 - 70
2011-03-05 @ Washington State Cougars W 58 - 54
2011-03-10 vs Oregon Ducks L 59 - 76
2011-03-17 vs Michigan State Spartans W 78 - 76
2011-03-19 @ Florida Gators L 65 - 73

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Reeves Nelson Reeves Nelson F 20 31.9 13.8 9.0 1.8 0.5 0.4 2.6 5.3 17.4 18 26 0.7 1.0 57.9 11.1 67.2 -1.88 102.1 58.4
Tyler Honeycutt Tyler Honeycutt F 20 36.1 13.6 6.8 2.7 0.8 2.0 3.1 6.4 16.4 84 25 3.4 4.1 46.9 50.9 73.2 1.86 93.1 57.8
Malcolm Lee Malcolm Lee G 20 34.2 11.7 3.0 2.5 0.7 0.2 1.4 5.0 11.7 108 25 4.3 5.5 36.4 18.2 76.0 4.57 96.3 39.4
Joshua Smith Joshua Smith C 19 23.0 11.6 6.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 3.9 14.8 139 26 5.3 10.2 58.1 0 59.6 3.77 114.1 58.1
Lazeric Jones Lazeric Jones G 20 27.8 9.1 2.5 3.3 0.9 0.3 2.0 4.3 9.7 87 26 3.3 5.0 39.1 28.9 84.6 1.44 87.4 45.4
Jerime Anderson Jerime Anderson G 20 20.6 6.0 1.6 2.0 0.9 0.1 1.6 1.9 7.2 40 26 1.5 3.2 30.8 27.3 59.1 1.19 124.3 34.6
Brendan Lane Brendan Lane F 20 11.7 2.2 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.1 4.0 27 25 1.1 3.3 52.2 16.7 58.3 -0.66 77.8 54.3
Tyler Trapani Tyler Trapani G 1 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.18 100.0 100.0
Tyler Lamb Tyler Lamb G 20 10.8 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.8 37 26 1.4 5.1 25.0 7.7 83.3 -0.17 53.4 26.6
Anthony Stover Anthony Stover C 18 9.1 0.8 1.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.5 2.7 -39 24 -1.6 -9.4 44.4 0 23.1 -3.2 51.0 44.4
Blake Arnet Blake Arnet G 4 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 -15 6 -2.5 -75.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 -3.05 53.2 0.0
Matt DeMarcus Matt DeMarcus G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.49 0.0 0.0
Alex Schrempf Alex Schrempf F 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.49 0 0
Jack Haley Jack Haley G 2 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.47 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG