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2011-01-09

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“

Actual: USC Trojans +11 (63-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reeves Nelson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 14 20 -
Tyler Honeycutt * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 7 10 15 -
Malcolm Lee * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 6 -
Lazeric Jones * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 8 -
Joshua Smith * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 8 13 -
Brendan Lane 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
Jerime Anderson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 12 -
Tyler Lamb 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Anthony Stover 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stepheson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 0 1 0 2 13 28 -
M. Jones * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 4 0 3 9 16 -
N. Vucevic * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 20 24 -
M. Simmons * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 8 -
J. Fontan * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 10 14 -
D. Smith 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 2 6 -
G. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter