Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +33 (83-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McLemore | 27 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -4 | - |
| R. Cody | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Greene | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Hayward-Mayhew | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Lyles | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Daniel | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -5 | - |
| V. McGhee | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Jacobs | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| F. Eteuati | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Henson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Quinn | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lee | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Honeycutt | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 10 | - |
| L. Jones | 23 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Lamb | 21 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Lane | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| R. Nelson | 20 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Smith | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| J. Anderson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. Stover | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| B. Arnet | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Haley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. DeMarcus | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Schrempf | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter