Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas * | 39 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| D. Green * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 8-9 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 31 | - |
| D. Summers * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| M. Kebler * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Payne * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Appling | 29 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Roe | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| G. Sherman | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| A. Thornton | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Nix | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Honeycutt * | 36 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| M. Lee * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| R. Nelson * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Smith * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Jones * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Lane | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Anderson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Lamb | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Stover | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter