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2010-12-18

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% -
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 34 8-15 2-8 7-8 2 1 0 0 7 25 6 -
J. Emery 32 4-8 1-5 6-7 4 1 1 0 1 15 12 -
B. Davies 30 7-9 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 1 2 18 14 -
K. Collinsworth 29 2-6 0-1 2-4 2 2 0 0 2 6 2 -
C. Collinsworth 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
S. Rogers 14 1-1 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
N. Hartsock 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
B. Zylstra 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
L. Magnusson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Abouo 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
N. Martineau 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Anderson 4 0-1 0-0 0-3 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lee 33 3-11 0-4 3-4 3 7 1 0 1 9 8 -
R. Nelson 32 8-15 0-2 7-13 4 2 0 0 1 23 13 -
T. Honeycutt 30 6-12 3-4 2-4 8 3 0 0 2 17 14 -
B. Lane 25 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 0 5 9 -
L. Jones 24 5-7 2-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 12 6 -
J. Smith 20 4-7 0-0 7-9 8 1 1 0 3 15 15 -
J. Anderson 18 1-3 1-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
T. Lamb 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Stover 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter