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UCF

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UCF Knights, UCF
Program History
Coach: Donnie Jones

2011 Team Stats (8 games)

72.5
PPG
63.6
Opp
+8.9
Margin
45.9%
FG%
32.9%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
37.1
RPG
11.5
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.5
Adj PPG
61.7
Adj Opp PPG
#85
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1094 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1129 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 1021 (#129) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +6.2 (#85) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +2.7 (#131) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.698 (#72) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.9 More → 0.777 (#82) AdjNet +10.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.0 More → 0.782 (#82) AdjNet +11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.630 (#85) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.524 (#143) AdjO 65.0 | AdjD 64.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.654 (#92) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.634 (#93) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 30 More → 1134 (#76) RD 102 | GP 30

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs West Florida Argonauts W 115 - 61
2010-11-15 vs Jackson State Tigers W 80 - 39
2010-11-18 vs South Florida Bulls W 65 - 59
2010-11-23 @ Stetson Hatters W 85 - 58
2010-11-27 vs Alabama State Hornets W 84 - 48
2010-12-01 vs Florida Gators W 57 - 54
2010-12-04 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 74 - 49
2010-12-11 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 76 - 59
2010-12-15 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 79 - 58
2010-12-18 @ Miami Hurricanes W 84 - 78
2010-12-22 @ UMass Minutemen W 64 - 59
2010-12-29 vs Furman Paladins W 71 - 53
2010-12-30 vs Princeton Tigers W 68 - 62
2011-01-05 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 65 - 58
2011-01-08 @ Houston Cougars L 71 - 76
2011-01-15 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 69 - 86
2011-01-19 vs East Carolina Pirates L 62 - 74
2011-01-22 vs Rice Owls L 50 - 57
2011-01-26 @ Memphis Tigers L 61 - 77
2011-01-29 vs UAB Blazers L 69 - 74
2011-02-09 vs Memphis Tigers L 62 - 63
2011-02-16 @ Tulane Green Wave W 65 - 62
2011-02-19 @ UAB Blazers L 58 - 63
2011-02-21 @ UTEP Miners W 74 - 68
2011-02-26 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 65 - 64
2011-03-02 vs SMU Mustangs W 51 - 48
2011-03-05 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 69 - 83
2011-03-09 @ East Carolina Pirates L 60 - 75
2011-03-16 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 69 - 54
2011-03-21 vs Rhode Island Rams W 66 - 54
2011-03-23 @ Creighton Bluejays L 64 - 82

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Jordan Marcus Jordan G 23 32.6 15.1 2.8 3.1 0.7 0.1 2.9 4.6 14.3 54 27 2.0 2.7 50.0 40.5 78.5 -0.44 128.9 57.1
Keith Clanton Keith Clanton F 23 31.7 13.7 7.3 1.6 1.0 1.9 2.4 4.6 18.4 99 27 3.7 5.1 53.3 35.3 73.7 2.48 121.5 56.2
Isaac Sosa Isaac Sosa G 23 25.0 7.2 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.9 2.9 6.6 91 27 3.4 5.7 34.3 30.4 75.0 0.56 117.7 44.8
A.J. Rompza A.J. Rompza G 22 25.6 5.7 2.3 3.1 1.0 0.0 2.1 2.5 7.5 116 25 4.6 7.8 28.6 25.0 65.4 1.54 93.4 34.8
Tom Herzog Tom Herzog C 21 15.8 5.6 3.7 0.2 0.5 1.7 1.0 1.6 9.1 63 24 2.6 6.7 63.6 0 66.7 0.94 147.7 63.6
A.J. Tyler A.J. Tyler F 21 16.8 5.4 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.5 7.4 38 21 1.8 4.5 22.6 17.6 80.0 1.37 159.6 27.4
P.J. Gaynor P.J. Gaynor F 23 17.1 4.4 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.3 1.5 1.3 6.0 -9 27 -0.3 -0.8 43.3 28.6 87.5 -3.38 152.1 50.0
Isaiah Sykes Isaiah Sykes G 22 15.9 4.3 3.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.6 6.5 78 26 3.0 7.8 65.7 0 60.6 0.98 95.9 65.7
Dave Diakite Dave Diakite F 16 9.3 2.9 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.4 3.8 33 21 1.6 6.1 39.1 33.3 57.1 -1.01 80.6 43.5
Dwight McCombs Dwight McCombs C 22 10.8 2.5 2.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 4.2 21 26 0.8 2.8 64.7 0 66.7 -0.31 131.2 64.7
Amara Thompson Amara Thompson G 2 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 -14 8 -1.8 -34.6 100.0 0 50.0 -2.92 72.5 100.0
Taylor Young Taylor Young G 14 7.3 1.7 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 -1 23 0.0 -0.3 55.6 42.9 100.0 -0.75 121.5 72.2
Jarvis Davis Jarvis Davis G 9 4.9 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.6 1.1 20 12 1.7 10.6 40.0 0 42.9 1.37 43.3 40.0
Dogukan Kuzucan Dogukan Kuzucan G 5 2.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 -14 9 -1.6 -44.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.64 100.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG